ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
ADTN price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedADTN is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $6.31
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $6.31–$19.40
- Market cap
- $514M
- From 52-week high
- -67.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 81.5M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #161 of 181
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is a technology company that designs, manufactures, and sells networking equipment and software solutions for telecommunications service providers and enterprises. The company operates globally, serving customers across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other international markets.
ADTN currently ranks #161 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $514M
- P/E (trailing)
- 20x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.14B
- Net margin
- -2.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.32
- Gross margin
- 37.0%
- Debt / equity
- 1.87
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 1.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 81.5M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 34 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $7.41
- 200-day average
- $11.24
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Dividend
- None in the last 12 months (last ex-date 2023-08-18)
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-02
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 3 beat, 5 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-133.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+55.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+100.0%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-16.7%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-2500.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+200.0%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-3002.5%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-25.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 7 buy · 2 hold · 0 sell (9 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $14.7
- Target vs last price
- +133.0%
What our data shows for ADTN
- Our model validated 6 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ADTN, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $6.31–$19.40.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 34.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ADTN
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ADTN news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ADTN is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- ADTN Looks 24.1% Undervalued on GF Value™ (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-17)
TickrTrends take: ADTN is trading at a significant discount according to GF Value metrics, which aligns with TickrTrends' undervalued assessment of the stock. For investors focused on valuation, the roughly 24 percent gap between current price and estimated fair value represents the magnitude of potential upside if the company's fundamentals support closing that spread. Monitoring whether ADTN's operational performance justifies this valuation discount will be key to determining whether the undervalued designation holds or shifts over time. - ADTN Looks 24.9% Undervalued on GF Value™ Amid Challenging Profitability (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-15)
TickrTrends take: ADTN's current TickrTrends undervalued designation aligns with the GF Value assessment suggesting meaningful downside protection, though investors should monitor whether the noted profitability challenges begin to show signs of improvement. For a valuation-focused reader, the gap between current pricing and intrinsic value estimates becomes most meaningful if the company can demonstrate a path toward stabilizing or expanding its profit margins. The Technology sector context matters here since operational efficiency improvements in this space can shift valuation multiples relatively quickly once profitability trends inflect. - One Customer’s Delay Can’t Hide ADTRAN’s (ADTN) Optical Surge (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-10)
TickrTrends take: ADTRAN operates in the Technology sector and is currently rated as Undervalued by TickrTrends, suggesting its market price may not fully reflect its business performance. The company has demonstrated strength in its optical business segment despite experiencing a customer-related delay, which indicates underlying operational momentum that could support the case for undervaluation. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should track whether ADTRAN's optical growth trajectory continues to outpace any near-term customer-specific headwinds, as sustained revenue expansion in this area could further validate the undervalued designation.
What people are saying
Follow the ADTN conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — ADTN's sector discount rank improved this week, moving from number 12 to number 7 among Technology sector stocks. This shift indicates the stock is trading at a relatively better discount compared to its peers in the Technology sector. TickrTrends' derived indicators currently suggest ADTN is undervalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ADTN stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ADTN is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ADTN's TickrTrends verdict?
ADTN's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ADTN compare to other Technology stocks?
ADTN ranks #161 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ADTN overbought or oversold?
ADTN's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ADTN pay a dividend?
ADTN has paid no dividend in the last twelve months; its last ex-dividend date on file was 2023-08-18.
When does ADTN report earnings next?
ADTN's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-02, per the published earnings calendar.
Does ADTN usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ADTN beat the consensus estimate 3 times and missed 5 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ADTN?
Of 9 analysts covering ADTN, 7 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $14.7 (+133.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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