ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is a technology company that designs, manufactures, and sells networking equipment and software solutions for telecommunications service providers and enterprises. The company operates globally, serving customers across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other international markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, ADTN is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

ADTN currently ranks #14 of 199 Technology stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $8.86
Sector: Technology
12-month range: $7.91–$18.45

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Downtrend
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for ADTN

Our model validated 6 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ADTN, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $7.91–$18.45.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 37.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ADTN
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent ADTN news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ADTN is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

ADTRAN Stock: Q2 Results Highlight Possible Headwinds (NASDAQ:ADTN) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-14)
TickrTrends take: ADTRAN's Q2 results have surfaced concerns about potential business challenges ahead, which contrasts with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock trades as undervalued. For valuation-focused investors, the key question is whether the identified headwinds represent temporary pressures that justify the current discount, or if they signal deteriorating fundamentals that warrant reconsidering the undervaluation thesis. Monitoring ADTRAN's guidance revisions and margin trends will be critical to determining whether the Technology sector company can sustain its valuation advantage as operational challenges unfold.
ADTRAN Holdings Q2 Loss Narrows, Shares Down (rttnews.com, 2026-08-04)
TickrTrends take: ADTRAN Holdings reported a narrowing loss in the second quarter, though the market's negative share price reaction suggests investors may be weighing near-term profitability concerns against longer-term positioning. TickrTrends currently identifies the company as undervalued within the Technology sector, indicating potential disconnect between current market pricing and fundamental valuation metrics. Readers focused on valuation should monitor whether the company's path to profitability continues to improve and whether this trajectory gains market recognition in coming quarters.
ADTRAN Q2 2026 Earnings Preview (NASDAQ:ADTN) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-02)
TickrTrends take: ADTRAN operates in the Technology sector where TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for the stock. With Q2 2026 earnings on the horizon, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the company's financial results support the undervalued assessment or whether operational performance necessitates a reassessment. The earnings report will provide concrete data on revenue, profitability, and guidance that valuation-oriented analysts typically weigh against current market pricing.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is ADTN stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), ADTN is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is ADTN's TickrTrends verdict?

ADTN's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does ADTN compare to other Technology stocks?

ADTN ranks #14 of 199 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is ADTN overbought or oversold?

ADTN's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Technology fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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