The AES Corporation (AES) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
AES price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedAES is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $14.94
- Sector
- Utilities
- 12-month range
- $13.44–$17.28
- Market cap
- $10.7B
- From 52-week high
- -13.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 713M
- Rank in Utilities by discount to fair value
- #14 of 36
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The AES Corporation is a utility company that generates and distributes electricity to customers through power plants and electrical grids. The company operates in multiple countries across North America, South America, Europe, and Asia.
AES currently ranks #14 of 36 Utilities stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $10.7B
- P/E (trailing)
- 5x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $13.1B
- Net margin
- 14.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.84
- Gross margin
- 20.2%
- Debt / equity
- 6.50
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -0.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 713M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 62 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $14.82
- 200-day average
- $14.74
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.70 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 4.71%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 13
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-30
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-14
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-03
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-31.1%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+108.1%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+29.4%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-2.6%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+27.5%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-18.2%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+16.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+10.9%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 0 buy · 9 hold · 0 sell (9 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $15
- Target vs last price
- +0.4%
What our data shows for AES
- Our model validated 15 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AES, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $13.44–$17.28.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 62.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AES
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent AES news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AES is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- European Union Approves AES Corp. Sale to Global Infrastructure Management and EQT Infrastructure (AES) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: AES Corp's sale approval by the European Union represents a significant corporate transition that could affect how the market reassesses the company's asset base and future earnings trajectory. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued designation, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how the transaction's completion impacts the company's financial structure and whether the deal unlocks value that the market may have previously overlooked. The infrastructure-focused buyer profile suggests potential strategic benefits that could alter the investment case for AES shareholders going forward. - U.S. Lawmakers Oppose AES $33.4B Acquisition Amid Regulatory Review (NYSE: AES) (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
TickrTrends take: AES faces regulatory headwinds as U.S. lawmakers oppose its major acquisition, which could impact the company's growth trajectory and financial flexibility during a period when TickrTrends identifies it as undervalued. The outcome of this regulatory review will be important for investors to monitor, as approval or rejection could materially affect the company's future earnings power and capital allocation strategy within the Utilities sector. Given the current undervalued assessment, developments in this acquisition review represent a key variable that could influence whether the valuation gap narrows or widens. - AES Looks 2.3% Undervalued on GF Value™ Amid Sale Approval (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-18)
TickrTrends take: AES appears undervalued based on both TickrTrends' assessment and the GF Value metric referenced in recent company news, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the utility's fundamentals. For valuation-focused investors monitoring the Utilities sector, the approval of the company's sale represents a significant corporate event that could influence how the stock trades relative to its intrinsic value going forward. Investors should track whether the completion of this transaction and any resulting restructuring affects the company's operational efficiency and whether the current discount persists as the deal progresses.
More AES news
- AES Looks 3.6% Undervalued on GF Value™ at $14.73 (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-28)
What people are saying
Follow the AES conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — AES moved from an overbought to a neutral RSI zone during the week. The shift in this momentum indicator reflects a pullback from elevated pricing levels while the stock remains classified as undervalued based on TickrTrends' valuation analysis.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — AES has moved up significantly in sector valuation rankings this week, improving from the 28th to the 14th position among utilities stocks by discount rank. The company's valuation assessment has shifted from Fairly valued to Undervalued, reflecting a more attractive pricing position relative to its fundamentals within the utilities sector.
- 2026-10-10 — AES moved into overbought territory this week as its RSI zone shifted from neutral, suggesting increased upward momentum in the stock price. Despite this overbought reading, the current valuation verdict remains undervalued, indicating that TickrTrends' derived indicators still suggest the stock trades below its assessed fundamental value.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — AES Corporation's sector discount ranking declined this week, moving from number 4 to number 9 among utilities stocks, indicating a reduction in its relative valuation advantage within the sector. Despite this shift in ranking, the stock maintains an undervalued verdict according to TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is AES stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), AES is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is AES's TickrTrends verdict?
AES's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does AES compare to other Utilities stocks?
AES ranks #14 of 36 Utilities stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is AES overbought or oversold?
AES's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does AES pay a dividend?
Yes. AES paid $0.70 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 4.71% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 13 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-10-30.
When does AES report earnings next?
AES's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-03, per the published earnings calendar.
Does AES usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters AES beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about AES?
Of 9 analysts covering AES, 0 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $15 (+0.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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