Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
ATO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedATO is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $161.66
- Sector
- Utilities
- 12-month range
- $156.24–$192.29
- Market cap
- $27.3B
- From 52-week high
- -15.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 169M
- Rank in Utilities by discount to fair value
- #27 of 36
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Atmos Energy Corporation is a natural gas utility company that distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates natural gas distribution and transmission systems across multiple states in the United States.
ATO currently ranks #27 of 36 Utilities stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $27.3B
- P/E (trailing)
- 19x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.92B
- Net margin
- 28.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $8.41
- Gross margin
- 99.1%
- Debt / equity
- 0.67
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 16.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 169M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 68 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $164.12
- 200-day average
- $174.17
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $4.00 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.47%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 26
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-24
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-08
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+6.7%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+1.8%)
2025-12 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+5.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+0.9%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+5.2%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+0.9%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+2.5%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 12 hold · 0 sell (14 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $185
- Target vs last price
- +14.4%
What our data shows for ATO
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ATO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $156.24–$192.29.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 68.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ATO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ATO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ATO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Atmos Energy: Quality Company At A Fair Price (NYSE:ATO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-01)
TickrTrends take: Atmos Energy is a utilities company currently assessed as fairly valued by TickrTrends metrics, suggesting the market price aligns with its fundamental characteristics. For valuation-focused investors, movements in utility sector multiples and regulatory developments affecting Atmos Energy's rate base expansion would be key indicators to monitor for shifts in this fair valuation assessment. Given the stable nature of utilities operations, any significant divergence from fair value would likely stem from changes in interest rates, capital investment returns, or shifts in the regulatory environment. - ATO Maintains Hold by Jefferies -- Price Target Lowered to $167 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-01)
TickrTrends take: Jefferies has adjusted its price target for ATO downward to $167, which provides context for evaluating the stock against TickrTrends' current assessment of fair valuation. The analyst's revised target suggests a potential recalibration of expectations for this Utilities sector company, making it relevant for investors to monitor whether market pricing aligns with the adjusted analyst perspective. For valuation-focused readers, the gap between any current trading price and this new analyst target represents a key metric to track as sentiment evolves in the utility sector. - Is Atmos Energy Stock Underperforming the Dow? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-21)
TickrTrends take: Atmos Energy operates in the Utilities sector, where stable cash flows and regulated returns typically support consistent valuations. The question of whether ATO is underperforming the broader Dow index relates to sector-specific dynamics rather than fundamental valuation concerns, as TickrTrends currently assigns the stock a Fairly valued rating. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether any relative underperformance reflects temporary market dynamics or signals shifting fundamentals in the regulated utility business.
What people are saying
Follow the ATO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for ATO show a shift in the Relative Strength Index from oversold to neutral territory this week. The stock maintains a fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics. This movement in the RSI zone suggests reduced downward momentum compared to the previous week.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for ATO show a shift in momentum this week, with the RSI zone moving from neutral into oversold territory. This change suggests the stock has experienced selling pressure recently. The current valuation verdict remains at fairly valued.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ATO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ATO is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ATO's TickrTrends verdict?
ATO's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ATO compare to other Utilities stocks?
ATO ranks #27 of 36 Utilities stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ATO overbought or oversold?
ATO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ATO pay a dividend?
Yes. ATO paid $4.00 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.47% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 26 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-24.
When does ATO report earnings next?
ATO's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does ATO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ATO beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ATO?
Of 14 analysts covering ATO, 2 rate it a buy, 12 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $185 (+14.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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