ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

ASML Holding N.V. is a Dutch technology company that designs and manufactures advanced semiconductor production equipment, primarily lithography systems used to create integrated circuits. The company operates globally with manufacturing and operations based in the Netherlands and serves customers in semiconductor fabrication facilities worldwide.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, ASML is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

ASML currently ranks #114 of 199 Technology stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $1,642.52
Sector: Technology
12-month range: $996.62–$1,840.55

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: C
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for ASML

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ASML, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $996.62–$1,840.55.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 54.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ASML
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent ASML news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ASML is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

Intel Climbs 5% on High-NA EUV Production Lead, ASML and Taiwan Semiconductor Advance 3% (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: ASML's advance of 3% follows positive momentum in semiconductor manufacturing equipment demand, as indicated by Intel's gains on high-NA EUV production developments. Given TickrTrends' fairly valued assessment, investors should monitor whether ASML's valuation remains appropriately anchored to its earnings growth trajectory, particularly if equipment cycle strength continues to accelerate across the semiconductor industry. The current valuation level suggests the market has already priced in reasonable expectations for ASML's participation in next-generation chip production, leaving limited margin for upside unless underlying demand metrics substantially exceed current consensus.
ASML and TSMC Announce Initiative to Pioneer Industry Transition to Large-Format Photomasks for High NA EUV (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: ASML's announcement with TSMC on advancing large-format photomasks for high NA EUV represents a significant technology development that could influence the company's competitive positioning and long-term revenue potential in semiconductor equipment manufacturing. Given that TickrTrends currently values ASML as fairly valued, investors should monitor whether this initiative translates into concrete orders and margin expansion that might justify a higher valuation multiple. The collaboration signals ASML's continued importance to the semiconductor industry's most advanced chipmakers, which could support the company's growth trajectory relative to current market expectations.
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Well Positioned as AI Fuels Chip Complexity (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-07)

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is ASML stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), ASML is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is ASML's TickrTrends verdict?

ASML's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does ASML compare to other Technology stocks?

ASML ranks #114 of 199 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is ASML overbought or oversold?

ASML's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Technology fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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