Business First Bancshares, Inc. (BFST) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
BFST price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedBFST is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $31.31
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $24.25–$32.28
- Market cap
- $1.02B
- From 52-week high
- -3.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 32.5M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #110 of 167
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Business First Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates community banks providing retail and commercial banking services to customers in its markets. The company operates banking subsidiaries primarily in Kentucky and the surrounding region.
BFST currently ranks #110 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 11 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.02B
- P/E (trailing)
- 11x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $455M
- Net margin
- 20.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.95
- Gross margin
- 19.0%
- Debt / equity
- 0.61
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -13.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 32.5M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 59 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $31.13
- 200-day average
- $29.08
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.60 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.92%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 7
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-14
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-31
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-26 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▬ met (0.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+5.8%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+11.3%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+7.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+3.1%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+6.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+34.7%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+19.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 5 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell (5 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $34.9
- Target vs last price
- +11.5%
What our data shows for BFST
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for BFST, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $24.25–$32.28.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 59.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for BFST
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent BFST news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for BFST is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Business First Bancshares, Inc. Schedules Q3 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call for Oct. 26 (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-01)
TickrTrends take: Business First Bancshares is scheduled to report third quarter 2026 results on October 26, providing the market with updated financial metrics to assess whether the company's current fairly valued status remains appropriate. Given the company's Financial Services sector positioning, investors tracking valuation should monitor key profitability measures, asset quality indicators, and any changes in net interest margin that could affect earnings sustainability. The earnings release will offer concrete data points to evaluate whether BFST's valuation reflects its actual operational performance and forward prospects.
What people are saying
Follow the BFST conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — BFST's technical positioning improved this week as its 50/200-day trend state shifted from mixed to uptrend, suggesting strengthening momentum in the near term. However, the stock's sector discount ranking declined from 111 to 117 within Financial Services, indicating it has become relatively less attractively valued compared to its peer group. The stock remains fairly valued according to current assessment metrics.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — BFST's sector positioning has weakened this week, with its discount rank declining from 104th to 109th place within the Financial Services sector. The stock remains assessed as fairly valued according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is BFST stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), BFST is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is BFST's TickrTrends verdict?
BFST's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does BFST compare to other Financial Services stocks?
BFST ranks #110 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is BFST overbought or oversold?
BFST's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does BFST pay a dividend?
Yes. BFST paid $0.60 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.92% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 7 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-14.
When does BFST report earnings next?
BFST's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-26 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does BFST usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters BFST beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about BFST?
Of 5 analysts covering BFST, 5 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $34.9 (+11.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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