Business First Bancshares, Inc. (BFST) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Business First Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates community banks providing retail and commercial banking services to customers in its markets. The company operates banking subsidiaries primarily in Kentucky and the surrounding region.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, BFST is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

BFST currently ranks #107 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $31.92
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $23.03–$31.92

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: C-
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for BFST

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for BFST, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $23.03–$31.92.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 55.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for BFST
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent BFST news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for BFST is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Why This Business First Insider Sale Matters Less Than Second-Half Loan Growth And Deposits (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-02)
TickrTrends take: Business First is trading at an overvalued level according to TickrTrends, which makes the company's ability to demonstrate concrete financial growth particularly important for justifying its current valuation. The headline's emphasis on second-half loan growth and deposit expansion suggests investors should monitor whether the Financial Services company can deliver operational results that support its elevated valuation multiple. An overvalued positioning means the stock requires strong execution on loan portfolio and deposit metrics to avoid further valuation compression if growth disappoints.
What This Business First Insider Sale Signals After a 34% Stock Run (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-02)
TickrTrends take: Business First has experienced significant insider selling activity following a substantial appreciation in its share price. In the context of TickrTrends' current assessment that BFST is overvalued, insider transactions of this nature warrant attention from investors monitoring valuation metrics, as such sales can reflect management's views on current pricing levels relative to fundamental value. Given the Financial Services sector context and the recent stock performance, valuation-focused observers should continue tracking whether insider activity patterns align with or diverge from the overvaluation indicator.
Business First Bancshares, Inc. (BFST) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-07-24)
TickrTrends take: Business First Bancshares operates in the Financial Services sector where earnings quality and growth trajectory significantly influence valuation multiples. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that BFST is overvalued, the Q2 2026 earnings call provides an opportunity for investors to evaluate whether management commentary supports the current market price or suggests further downside risk. Valuation-focused readers should monitor guidance on net interest margins, asset quality, and loan growth rates to determine if near-term earnings momentum can justify the premium valuation or whether consensus expectations may need adjustment.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is BFST stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), BFST is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is BFST's TickrTrends verdict?

BFST's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does BFST compare to other Financial Services stocks?

BFST ranks #107 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is BFST overbought or oversold?

BFST's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

BFST vs BCAL · BFST vs BPOP · BFST vs CGBD · BFST vs CINF · BFST vs COLB