CME Group Inc. (CME) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

CME Group Inc. is a leading global derivatives marketplace that operates electronic trading platforms and clearinghouses for futures, options, and other derivatives contracts across multiple asset classes including commodities, equities, interest rates, and foreign exchange. The company serves customers worldwide from its headquarters in Chicago and operates exchange and clearing services in multiple countries to facilitate price discovery and risk management for participants in global financial and commodity markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, CME is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

CME currently ranks #67 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $281.29
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $257.76–$326.46

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: A
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Strong
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The lower-middle quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Undervalued

What our data shows for CME

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CME, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $257.76–$326.46.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 61.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CME
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent CME news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CME is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

A Fed Rate Hike May Be in the Cards on Sept. 16, and 36 Years of History Says the Stock Market Won't Be Happy (at Least Initially) (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-06)
TickrTrends take: CME's fair valuation assessment occurs as market participants anticipate potential Federal Reserve action that could create near-term volatility in equities. A rate hike decision would likely drive increased trading volume in CME's futures and options contracts, which represent a significant revenue source for the Financial Services operator. Valuation-focused investors should monitor whether CME's earnings and revenue growth can offset any temporary market disruption, given the company's direct exposure to market activity levels.
HYPE Joins Hashdex ETF at 3.36%, BTC Falls to 74.36% (financefeeds.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: CME, trading at a fairly valued level according to TickrTrends, operates in the Financial Services sector where cryptocurrency-related developments can influence trading volumes and derivative activity. The movement in bitcoin prices and changes to cryptocurrency ETF compositions may affect demand for CME's futures and options contracts, which serve as primary revenue drivers for the company. Investors monitoring CME's valuation should track how digital asset volatility and institutional participation in crypto derivatives markets develop, as these factors can impact the company's business activity and financial performance going forward.

What people are saying

Follow the CME conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CME shifted this week, with the DCF cross-check band moving from fairly valued to undervalued, suggesting the stock now trades below its intrinsic value range based on discounted cash flow analysis. CME operates in the Financial Services sector and maintains a current valuation verdict of fairly valued overall. This movement in the DCF metric indicates changing fundamental assessments of the company's worth relative to its market price.
2026-09-06 — CME's valuation indicators shifted this week toward a more neutral assessment. The DCF cross-check band moved from undervalued to fairly valued, while the relative strength index zone transitioned from overbought to neutral, reflecting reduced momentum. Within the Financial Services sector, CME's discount rank improved from #72 to #67, indicating a slightly stronger relative valuation position among peer companies.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is CME stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), CME is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is CME's TickrTrends verdict?

CME's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does CME compare to other Financial Services stocks?

CME ranks #67 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is CME overbought or oversold?

CME's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

CME vs ACGL · CME vs CB · CME vs CFFN · CME vs FHB · CME vs GGAL