Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
DBX price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedDBX is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $35.57
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $22.06–$37.74
- Market cap
- $7.47B
- From 52-week high
- -5.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 210M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #92 of 181
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Dropbox, Inc. is a cloud storage and file synchronization company that provides services for storing, sharing, and collaborating on files and folders. The company operates globally, serving individual users, teams, and enterprises across multiple countries through its cloud-based platform.
DBX currently ranks #92 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 5 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $7.47B
- P/E (trailing)
- 14x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.53B
- Net margin
- 17.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.60
- Gross margin
- 80.2%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -0.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 210M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 45 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $34.74
- 200-day average
- $28.52
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-12.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+8.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+1.5%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+13.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+19.5%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+12.9%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+16.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+13.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 1 buy · 4 hold · 3 sell (8 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $31.8
- Target vs last price
- -10.6%
What our data shows for DBX
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for DBX, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $22.06–$37.74.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 45.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for DBX
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent DBX news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for DBX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Dropbox Inc (DBX) Stock Up 3.5% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 76/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
TickrTrends take: Dropbox's recent stock movement reflects positive momentum, though the underlying valuation assessment suggests the gains may not have fully corrected the pricing discrepancy identified by analytical models. TickrTrends' undervalued designation for this Technology sector company indicates that fundamental value metrics continue to exceed the current market price, even after the recent appreciation. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether further price adjustments occur or if the gap between intrinsic and market value persists. - ETFs Are Net Sellers of Dropbox (DBX) on Wednesday (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-25)
TickrTrends take: ETF net selling activity in Dropbox stock suggests investor repositioning within the technology sector holdings. Given TickrTrends' fairly valued assessment of DBX, this selling pressure may reflect portfolio rebalancing rather than fundamental concerns about the company's valuation. Investors monitoring DBX should observe whether such ETF flows persist or reverse, as sustained selling could test the stock's current valuation equilibrium. - Dropbox Inc (DBX) Shares Fall 4.6% -- What GF Score of 76 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-24)
TickrTrends take: Dropbox shares experienced a recent decline, though the company maintains a GF Score of 76, which suggests solid operational and financial quality metrics by some analytical measures. TickrTrends currently assesses DBX as fairly valued within the Technology sector, meaning the recent price movement may not represent a substantial departure from fundamental worth. For valuation-focused investors, the key consideration is whether the company's underlying business performance and growth trajectory can support current market pricing, particularly as the Technology sector experiences broader market dynamics.
What people are saying
Follow the DBX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — DBX's technical trend improved this week as its 50/200-day trend state shifted from mixed to uptrend, while its sector discount rank moved from #108 to #125 within the Technology sector. The stock remains fairly valued according to current valuation metrics. These indicator changes reflect moderately positive momentum in the company's recent price action relative to its longer-term trend.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — DBX's sector positioning weakened this week as its discount rank within the Technology sector declined from 102 to 109. The stock maintains a Fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics.
- 2026-10-05 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for DBX in the Technology sector shifted this week, with the valuation verdict moving from Undervalued to Fairly valued. This change reflects an adjustment in how the stock's current price relates to its fundamental metrics compared to the prior week. The stock is now assessed as trading at a level consistent with its intrinsic value based on the indicators tracked.
- 2026-09-28 — DBX's valuation profile shifted this week, moving from Fairly valued to Undervalued status. The stock's 50/200-day trend state declined from uptrend to mixed, while its sector discount ranking improved from 121st to 104th among Technology sector companies. These changes indicate that DBX has become more attractively priced relative to its sector peers, though momentum indicators have become less clearly directional.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is DBX stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), DBX is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is DBX's TickrTrends verdict?
DBX's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does DBX compare to other Technology stocks?
DBX ranks #92 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is DBX overbought or oversold?
DBX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does DBX report earnings next?
DBX's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does DBX usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters DBX beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about DBX?
Of 8 analysts covering DBX, 1 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 3 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $31.8 (-10.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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