Ecolab Inc. (ECL) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Ecolab Inc. is a global provider of water, hygiene, and infection prevention solutions and services for customers in the food service, hospitality, healthcare, industrial, and commercial sectors. The company operates across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other international markets, serving clients ranging from restaurants and hotels to hospitals and manufacturing facilities.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, ECL is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

ECL currently ranks #8 of 27 Basic Materials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $279.28
Sector: Basic Materials
12-month range: $250.47–$303.46

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: C
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for ECL

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ECL, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $250.47–$303.46.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 41.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ECL
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent ECL news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ECL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Is Ecolab Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: Ecolab's underperformance relative to the Nasdaq occurs within a market context where TickrTrends currently identifies the stock as undervalued on a fundamental basis. For valuation-focused investors, the gap between the stock's market performance and its assessed intrinsic value presents a potential monitoring point, particularly given the company's position in the Basic Materials sector where cyclical factors and commodity pricing dynamics influence valuation metrics. The divergence between market performance and valuation assessment suggests tracking whether operational or market conditions drive a potential repricing toward the identified undervalued status.
Ecolab raises 2026 EPS outlook to $8.05-$8.25 while targeting Global High-Tech to reach $4B by 2030 (NYSE:ECL) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-07-28)
TickrTrends take: Ecolab's increased earnings guidance and ambitious growth targets for its Global High-Tech division suggest the company is positioning itself for sustained expansion, which could support stronger profitability than currently reflected in TickrTrends' undervalued assessment. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the company can execute on these revenue and earnings goals, as achievement of the Global High-Tech target would represent a meaningful scale-up for that business segment. The gap between current market pricing and these forward projections will be key to determining if the undervalued designation remains justified.
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-07-28)
TickrTrends take: Ecolab operates in the Basic Materials sector where cyclical pressures and commodity cost fluctuations can significantly impact margins and profitability metrics that drive valuation multiples. TickrTrends currently derives an undervalued verdict for ECL, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's earnings power or growth trajectory as revealed through operational performance discussions. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether Q2 2026 results demonstrate the margin expansion or revenue growth needed to justify closing any gap between current market price and intrinsic value estimates.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — ECL's momentum indicator downgraded from B to none this week, suggesting a weakening of upward price movement. Despite this change in momentum assessment, the stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict within the Basic Materials sector.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is ECL stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), ECL is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is ECL's TickrTrends verdict?

ECL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does ECL compare to other Basic Materials stocks?

ECL ranks #8 of 27 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is ECL overbought or oversold?

ECL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Basic Materials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

ECL vs BCPC · ECL vs CENX · ECL vs DOW · ECL vs FCX · ECL vs GSM