Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Diamondback Energy, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company that discovers, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from properties located primarily in the Permian Basin of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. The company operates onshore in one of the largest and most prolific oil and gas producing regions in the United States.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, FANG is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

FANG currently ranks #15 of 25 Energy stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $199.22
Sector: Energy
12-month range: $140.30–$207.65

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Strong
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for FANG

Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for FANG, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $140.30–$207.65.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 60.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for FANG
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent FANG news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for FANG is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Iran Just Raised the Stakes in the Gulf—These 5 Stocks Stand to Benefit (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: FANG is currently trading at an overvalued valuation level according to TickrTrends metrics, which creates a potential mismatch if geopolitical tensions in the Gulf drive near-term energy sector gains. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether any positive catalysts from regional instability can justify the current premium, or whether the overvaluation represents a risk if energy prices normalize. Given FANG's Energy sector positioning, tracking crude oil price movements and supply disruption concerns will be essential to understanding whether the stock's valuation gap narrows or widens.
U.S. Energy Stocks Rise Premarket as Brent Approaches $100 (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: FANG operates in the Energy sector, which is experiencing premarket strength as Brent crude approaches $100 per barrel, a price level that typically supports energy company revenues and margins. Despite this favorable commodity price environment, TickrTrends currently derives an Overvalued verdict for FANG, suggesting the stock's current market price may already reflect or exceed the benefits of elevated oil prices. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether FANG's share price adjusts if energy prices retreat, as the current overvaluation designation indicates limited margin of safety even with supportive sector tailwinds.
Diamondback Energy: The Next Catalyst May Have Nothing To Do With Oil (NASDAQ:FANG) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-07)
TickrTrends take: Diamondback Energy trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as overvalued, which suggests the stock may not offer attractive entry points on fundamental value metrics alone. Given that the headline points toward catalysts potentially disconnected from oil price movements, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether company-specific developments can justify the current pricing or whether mean reversion toward fair value remains likely. In an energy sector where commodity exposure typically dominates investor returns, a valuation-overweight position leaves limited margin for error if anticipated non-oil catalysts fail to materialize.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for FANG in the Energy sector show a shift in momentum assessment this week. The momentum indicator, which was rated A last week, has moved to none. The current valuation verdict remains Overvalued.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is FANG stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), FANG is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is FANG's TickrTrends verdict?

FANG's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does FANG compare to other Energy stocks?

FANG ranks #15 of 25 Energy stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is FANG overbought or oversold?

FANG's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Energy fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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