Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
FOXF price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedFOXF is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $16.04
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $13.19–$24.88
- Market cap
- $674M
- From 52-week high
- -35.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 42M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #4 of 85
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Fox Factory Holding Corp. is a manufacturer of suspension products and related components designed for off-road vehicles, mountain bikes, and powersports applications. The company operates manufacturing and distribution facilities across multiple continents including North America, Europe, and Asia.
FOXF currently ranks #4 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $674M
- P/E (trailing)
- 16x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.46B
- Net margin
- -20.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.98
- Gross margin
- 30.6%
- Debt / equity
- 1.02
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 2.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 42M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 29 · oversold
- 50-day average
- $19.71
- 200-day average
- $18.28
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+131.2%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+125.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+42.9%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-58.2%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-7.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+4.5%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-32.6%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-16.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 3 hold · 1 sell (6 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $21.2
- Target vs last price
- +32.2%
What our data shows for FOXF
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for FOXF, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $13.19–$24.88.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 29.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for FOXF
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent FOXF news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for FOXF is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.
- FOXF Maintained by B. Riley Securities -- Price Target Lowered to $16.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: B. Riley Securities lowered its price target for FOXF to $16, which represents a shift in analyst expectations for the company operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector. TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for FOXF, suggesting the stock may trade below intrinsic value according to its valuation methodology. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the analyst's maintained rating and revised target align with or diverge from the company's fundamental performance and whether market pricing reflects the current undervaluation assessment. - A Look at Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) After 7.8% Decline -- GF Value $29.39 vs Price $14.79 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Fox Factory Holding Corp trades at a substantial discount to its GF Value estimate, with the stock priced at approximately half of the derived valuation benchmark. This significant gap aligns with TickrTrends' undervalued designation and suggests the market is pricing in considerable pessimism relative to the company's fundamental value assessment. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the recent decline reflects temporary market weakness in the Consumer Cyclical sector or signals underlying business deterioration that might justify the current price level. - Company Guidance Roundup: Fox Factory Cuts, Truist Issues New View on Friday (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Fox Factory recently cut its company guidance, which typically signals management's reassessment of near-term business conditions and represents a material change from prior expectations. Within the Consumer Cyclical sector, where demand can fluctuate with economic conditions, guidance reductions often create pressure on near-term valuations before the market fully reprices expectations. Given TickrTrends' current Undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the guidance cut triggers further repricing or if the current valuation already reflects more conservative demand assumptions.
More FOXF news
- Fox Factory Holding (FOXF) Stock Drops Over 18% After Full-Year Guidance Cut and CEO Departure (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) Q3 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Misses Expectations Amid Operational Challenges (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- What Marucci’s financials reveal about its three years under Fox Factory (businessreport.com, 2026-09-28)
- Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) Completes $225M Sale of Wheelhouse Holdings (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-25)
- Fox Factory Completes $225 Million Sale of Marucci Sports; Proceeds Applied to Debt Reduction (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-25)
What people are saying
Follow the FOXF conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for FOXF show movement into oversold territory this week, with the RSI zone shifting from neutral to oversold. The stock remains classified as undervalued according to current valuation metrics. This combination of oversold technical conditions alongside undervaluation may be relevant for investors monitoring the consumer cyclical sector.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — FOXF's 50/200-day trend state has shifted from uptrend to mixed this week, indicating a change in the stock's momentum trajectory within its intermediate timeframe. Despite this technical shift, FOXF remains classified as undervalued according to TickrTrends' derived valuation indicators. The mixed trend state suggests investors should monitor whether the stock stabilizes or continues to deteriorate in coming sessions.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is FOXF stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), FOXF is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is FOXF's TickrTrends verdict?
FOXF's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does FOXF compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
FOXF ranks #4 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is FOXF overbought or oversold?
FOXF's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
When does FOXF report earnings next?
FOXF's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does FOXF usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters FOXF beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about FOXF?
Of 6 analysts covering FOXF, 2 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $21.2 (+32.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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