Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is a global hospitality company that operates and franchises hotel, resort, and timeshare properties under multiple brand names. The company maintains operations across numerous countries worldwide, serving leisure and business travelers through its diverse portfolio of accommodations.
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedBased on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, HLT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
HLT currently ranks #45 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.
- Last price
- $311.18
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $256.96–$332.65
Derived indicators
Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.
- Quality grade
- B
- Leverage
- Low
- Margin trend
- Stable
- Revenue growth
- Strong
- RSI zone
- Neutral
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
What our data shows for HLT
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HLT, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $256.96–$332.65.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 40.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HLT
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
How Forward Fair Value works
TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.
Recent HLT news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HLT is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- HLT Looks 3.9% Overvalued on GF Value™ as Momentum Drives Premarket Gains (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Hilton Worldwide Holdings trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector where valuation sensitivity typically reflects both travel demand cycles and interest rate environments. The company's current TickrTrends assessment of fairly valued positioning suggests that recent momentum-driven premarket gains may warrant monitoring for signs of disconnect between price movement and fundamental value metrics. Valuation-focused investors should observe whether any sustained price appreciation continues to widen the gap between market price and intrinsic value estimates.
What people are saying
Follow the HLT conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-09-07 — HLT's valuation assessment shifted this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from showing no verdict to indicating an overvalued condition, contrasting with the current fairly valued designation from other metrics. This divergence suggests that while HLT's overall valuation appears reasonable based on primary indicators, the discounted cash flow analysis signals potential overvaluation when examined independently. The competing signals merit monitoring as additional data emerges.
- 2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for HLT show a shift in momentum assessment this week, with the momentum indicator downgrading from a B rating to no rating. The stock remains classified as fairly valued according to the current valuation verdict. This change in momentum tracking may reflect evolving price action or technical conditions in the Consumer Cyclical sector name.
- 2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.
Frequently asked questions
Is HLT stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), HLT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is HLT's TickrTrends verdict?
HLT's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does HLT compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
HLT ranks #45 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.
Is HLT overbought or oversold?
HLT's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
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