Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
HLT price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedHLT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $326.56
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $256.96–$350.22
- Market cap
- $73.5B
- From 52-week high
- -6.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 225M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #48 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is a global hospitality company that operates and franchises hotel, resort, and timeshare properties under multiple brand names. The company maintains operations across numerous countries worldwide, serving leisure and business travelers through its diverse portfolio of accommodations.
HLT currently ranks #48 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $73.5B
- P/E (trailing)
- 38x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.5B
- Net margin
- 12.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $8.49
- Gross margin
- 30.5%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 8.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 225M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 81 · overbought
- 50-day average
- $318.95
- 200-day average
- $317.95
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.60 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.18%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-21
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-30
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-27 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▬ met (0.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+2.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+3.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+2.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+7.8%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+6.8%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+4.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+4.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 17 buy · 10 hold · 1 sell (28 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $354
- Target vs last price
- +8.4%
What our data shows for HLT
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HLT, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $256.96–$350.22.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 81.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HLT
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent HLT news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HLT is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- HLT Maintains Overweight Rating -- Price Target Raised to $387 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: An analyst has raised the price target for HLT to $387 while maintaining an overweight rating, suggesting confidence in the company's near-term prospects. This development occurs against TickrTrends' current assessment that HLT is fairly valued, meaning the stock's price reflects its fundamental worth based on available metrics. For valuation-focused readers, the gap between the raised price target and the current market price becomes the key metric to monitor, particularly given the company's sensitivity to economic cycles as a Consumer Cyclical sector participant. - A Look at Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) After 3.8% Gain -- GF Value $302.82 vs Price $359.29 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc trades at a premium to its GuruFocus calculated value, suggesting the market is pricing in expectations beyond the current valuation model's assessment. Given that TickrTrends rates HLT as fairly valued despite this gap, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's earnings growth and operational performance can justify the elevated price level. As a Consumer Cyclical business, HLT's valuation may be sensitive to economic conditions and changes in travel demand that could influence whether this premium persists. - Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) to Move Stock Listing from NYSE to Nasdaq (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Hilton Worldwide Holdings' planned transition from NYSE to Nasdaq represents an operational change that does not alter the fundamental business economics underlying its Fairly valued assessment. Investors monitoring HLT's valuation should continue focusing on metrics tied to hotel occupancy rates, RevPAR trends, and franchise fee growth rather than exchange listing mechanics, as these operational drivers determine whether the current valuation holds in the Consumer Cyclical sector. The listing move may affect trading liquidity and investor composition, factors worth observing to see if they influence HLT's valuation multiple over time.
More HLT news
- Hilton (HLT) to Move Stock Listing from NYSE to Nasdaq on November 5, 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
- HLT Maintains Rating by Wells Fargo -- Price Target Raised to $383 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- HLT Maintained by Evercore ISI Group -- Price Target Raised to $375 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- HLT Maintains Overweight Rating by Barclays -- Price Target Rais (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) Stock Up 4.6% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 85/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- Hilton (HLT) Has Negative Shareholder Equity. Here is What You Are Buying (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-06)
- Marriott (MAR) vs Hilton (HLT): Which is a Better Stock to Buy (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-24)
- HLT Maintained by Truist Securities -- Price Target Raised to $316 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-10)
What people are saying
Follow the HLT conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — HLT's relative strength index moved into overbought territory this week, shifting from a neutral zone in the previous period. The stock in the Consumer Cyclical sector remains at a fairly valued level based on current valuation metrics.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — # HLT Weekly Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for HLT showed improvement this week, with the quality grade advancing from C to B. The stock maintains a fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics within the Consumer Cyclical sector.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is HLT stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), HLT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is HLT's TickrTrends verdict?
HLT's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does HLT compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
HLT ranks #48 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is HLT overbought or oversold?
HLT's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does HLT pay a dividend?
Yes. HLT paid $0.60 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.18% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-21.
When does HLT report earnings next?
HLT's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-27 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does HLT usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters HLT beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about HLT?
Of 28 analysts covering HLT, 17 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $354 (+8.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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