HP Inc. (HPQ) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
HPQ price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedHPQ is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $30.20
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $18.20–$35.48
- Market cap
- $27.2B
- From 52-week high
- -14.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 902M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #129 of 181
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
HP Inc. is a multinational technology company that designs and manufactures personal computers, printers, and related supplies and services. The company operates globally across multiple continents, serving customers in markets worldwide.
HPQ currently ranks #129 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $27.2B
- P/E (trailing)
- 9x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $59.2B
- Net margin
- 4.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $3.43
- Gross margin
- 18.8%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 4.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 902M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 31 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $31.26
- 200-day average
- $24.01
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.20 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.97%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 9
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-09
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-07
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-24
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+10.7%)
2026-04 ▲ beat (+19.4%)
2026-01 ▲ beat (+5.2%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+1.1%)
2025-07 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-04 ▼ miss (-11.3%)
2025-01 ▬ met (0.0%)
2024-10 ▬ met (0.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 10 hold · 6 sell (18 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $27.3
- Target vs last price
- -9.6%
What our data shows for HPQ
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HPQ, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $18.20–$35.48.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 31.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HPQ
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent HPQ news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HPQ is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- HP Inc.: PC Revenue Burst Is Temporary, Steer Clear (Downgrade) (NYSE:HPQ) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-28)
TickrTrends take: HPQ trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently classifies as overvalued within the Technology sector, which contextualizes analyst concerns about the sustainability of recent PC revenue gains. A reader focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether HPQ's current price reflects only temporary revenue strength rather than durable earnings power, as the downgrade suggests that near-term results may not justify present valuations. The gap between current pricing and fundamental drivers becomes particularly relevant for investors evaluating whether recent PC demand will persist or normalize, potentially affecting the company's ability to support its valuation long-term. - HPQ Looks 5.7% Overvalued on GF Value™ as Dividend Sustainability Faces Scrutiny (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-21)
TickrTrends take: HPQ trades at a valuation premium according to GuruFocus analysis, with dividend sustainability emerging as a key risk factor that could pressure the stock further if earnings fail to support current payout levels. TickrTrends' overvalued classification aligns with this concern, suggesting that Technology sector investors should monitor whether the company can maintain its dividend commitment without compromising balance sheet strength. For valuation-conscious investors, the combination of elevated multiples and questioned dividend coverage represents a dual headwind that warrants attention to upcoming earnings reports and cash flow statements. - HPQ Looks 5.7% Overvalued on GF Value™ (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-21)
TickrTrends take: HPQ is currently trading at levels that TickrTrends classifies as overvalued within the Technology sector, and this valuation assessment aligns with external valuation models that similarly flag the stock as trading above intrinsic value estimates. For investors focused on valuation metrics, monitoring whether HPQ's price corrects toward fundamental value or whether earnings growth justifies the current premium would be important benchmarks to track. The consistency between TickrTrends' overvalued verdict and other valuation frameworks suggests that HPQ's current trading range may offer limited margin of safety for value-oriented investors.
What people are saying
Follow the HPQ conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — HPQ's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from 154th to 164th position among Technology sector companies. This shift indicates that HPQ has become less discounted relative to its peers in the Technology sector. The stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict based on current metrics.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — HPQ's position within the Technology sector has shifted this week, with its sector discount rank declining from 169 to 176, indicating the stock has moved further away from relative value within its peer group. The current valuation verdict remains Overvalued. This directional change suggests HPQ is trading at a greater premium to its Technology sector comparables than it was in the prior week.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is HPQ stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), HPQ is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is HPQ's TickrTrends verdict?
HPQ's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does HPQ compare to other Technology stocks?
HPQ ranks #129 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is HPQ overbought or oversold?
HPQ's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does HPQ pay a dividend?
Yes. HPQ paid $1.20 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 3.97% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 9 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-09.
When does HPQ report earnings next?
HPQ's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-24, per the published earnings calendar.
Does HPQ usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters HPQ beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about HPQ?
Of 18 analysts covering HPQ, 2 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 6 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $27.3 (-9.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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