Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
JCI price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedJCI is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $157.44
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $110.85–$158.76
- Market cap
- $95.4B
- From 52-week high
- -0.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 606M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #84 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Johnson Controls International plc is a multinational corporation that provides building solutions and products including HVAC systems, fire and security equipment, and energy management technologies. The company operates globally across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other international markets.
JCI currently ranks #84 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $95.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 33x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $25B
- Net margin
- 14.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $4.76
- Gross margin
- 37.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.70
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 4.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 606M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 49 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $147.49
- 200-day average
- $139.34
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.60 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.02%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 5
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-21
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-16
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-27 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+7.6%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+6.2%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+6.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+5.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+4.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+2.5%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+8.5%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+2.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 12 buy · 8 hold · 2 sell (22 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $168
- Target vs last price
- +6.7%
What our data shows for JCI
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for JCI, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $110.85–$158.76.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 49.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for JCI
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent JCI news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for JCI is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Johnson Controls (JCI) Partners with Armada to Build 500 MW AI Computing Capacity by 2027 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Johnson Controls announced a partnership to develop substantial AI computing infrastructure, which represents a significant capital commitment and strategic pivot toward technology services. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that JCI trades at an overvalued level, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this large-scale infrastructure investment generates sufficient returns to justify the company's current market price. The ability to monetize this AI capacity and integrate it into JCI's existing building management business will be critical to determining whether the company's valuation multiple can be sustained. - Jakarta Composite Index Drops 5.1% Amid MSCI Downgrade Risk; JCI Faces Valuation Scrutiny (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: JCI's overvalued status according to TickrTrends takes on heightened significance given the downgrade risk and market weakness highlighted in recent news, as valuation concerns compound with broader index pressures. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the combination of an already stretched valuation assessment and potential MSCI downgrade creates an environment where entry points may become more attractive if the index decline accelerates. The scrutiny on JCI valuations appears justified given the sector-wide industrial exposure and macroeconomic headwinds affecting emerging market indices. - Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) Stock Down 3.2% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 76/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Johnson Controls International trades in the Industrials sector where valuation discipline matters significantly for long-term returns. TickrTrends currently assesses JCI as overvalued, suggesting the recent 3 percent decline may not yet have brought the stock to a level that justifies its current price relative to fundamentals. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether further price adjustments occur before the overvalued designation shifts, as the GF Score of 76 indicates underlying business quality that could support a lower entry point.
More JCI news
- Goldman Sachs Upgrades Trane Technologies (TT) Amid HVAC Sector Divergence (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- A Look at Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) After 3.3% Gain -- GF Value $100.53 vs Price $150.20 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-25)
- A Look at Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) After 5.7% Decline -- GF Value $107.31 vs Price $137.76 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-14)
- How Is Johnson Controls' Stock Performance Compared to Other Building Products & Equipment Stocks? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-08)
What people are saying
Follow the JCI conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for JCI, which tracks the Industrials sector, reflect deteriorating fundamentals this week. The quality grade declined from D to F, signaling a substantial weakening in the underlying metrics that assess company financial health within the sector. The current valuation verdict remains Overvalued, indicating that the sector's market price continues to exceed what fundamental analysis suggests is justified.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is JCI stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), JCI is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is JCI's TickrTrends verdict?
JCI's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does JCI compare to other Industrials stocks?
JCI ranks #84 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is JCI overbought or oversold?
JCI's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does JCI pay a dividend?
Yes. JCI paid $1.60 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.02% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-21.
When does JCI report earnings next?
JCI's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-27 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does JCI usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters JCI beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about JCI?
Of 22 analysts covering JCI, 12 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 2 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $168 (+6.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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