Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Johnson Controls International plc is a multinational corporation that provides building solutions and products including HVAC systems, fire and security equipment, and energy management technologies. The company operates globally across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other international markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, JCI is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

JCI currently ranks #90 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $144.94
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $113.18–$146.66

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for JCI

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for JCI, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $113.18–$146.66.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 45.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for JCI
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent JCI news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for JCI is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

Can Johnson Controls (JCI) Turn Wasted Heat Into $18B? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-08-10)
TickrTrends take: Johnson Controls operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as overvalued according to TickrTrends valuation metrics. The company's exploration of waste heat recovery technology represents a potential value driver, though investors focused on valuation should monitor whether such initiatives can justify the current pricing relative to fundamentals. For a stock already trading at a premium valuation, successful commercialization of significant new revenue streams would be necessary to support the present market assessment.

What people are saying

Follow the JCI conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — JCI's valuation assessment shifted this week as its DCF cross-check band moved from overvalued to none, while its sector discount rank declined from number 84 to number 90 among industrials companies. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued, indicating that despite the change in the DCF cross-check band, the overall assessment suggests the stock is trading above its estimated fair value.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is JCI stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), JCI is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is JCI's TickrTrends verdict?

JCI's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does JCI compare to other Industrials stocks?

JCI ranks #90 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is JCI overbought or oversold?

JCI's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

JCI vs BLBD · JCI vs BLDR · JCI vs CMI · JCI vs HWM · JCI vs NSC