Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
LITE price how computed
Valuation status
No verdict this weekLITE: Next year's consensus is far above both what this company earned over the last four quarters and what its most recent quarter is earning.
Our model does not publish a verdict on a forecast that far from results; it is re-evaluated weekly.
- Last price
- $1,103.36
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $179.30–$1,133.40
- Market cap
- $99.9B
- From 52-week high
- -2.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 90.6M
- Rank in Technology by quality score
- #80 of 274
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures optical and photonic products used in telecommunications, data center, and consumer electronics applications. The company operates globally with manufacturing and operational facilities across multiple regions including the United States, Asia, and Europe.
LITE currently ranks #80 of 274 Technology stocks by quality score.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $99.9B
- P/E (trailing)
- 142x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.01B
- Net margin
- -230.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $7.78
- Gross margin
- 47.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.36
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 72.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 90.6M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 40 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $931.65
- 200-day average
- $777.47
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+0.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+4.4%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+18.4%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+6.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+8.6%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+14.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+16.7%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+50.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 23 buy · 4 hold · 0 sell (27 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $1180
- Target vs last price
- +6.9%
What our data shows for LITE
- Our model validated 15 trailing price-to-earnings windows for LITE, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $179.30–$1,133.40.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 40.
What subscribers see
- Every published Forward Fair Value with its exact discount or premium
- The normalized P/E and quarter count behind each estimate
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
- LITE's own verdict the week it qualifies, published automatically
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent LITE news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for LITE is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) Stock Up 3.4% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 68/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Lumentum Holdings Inc's recent stock appreciation occurs against a backdrop where TickrTrends' analysis suggests the company trades above its intrinsic value, signaling a potential disconnect between market momentum and fundamental worth. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the GF Score of 68 out of 100 indicates moderate business quality, which may not justify the current market price if overvaluation persists. Technology sector investors monitoring LITE should consider whether the stock's upward movement reflects genuine improvements in the company's underlying fundamentals or represents a pricing opportunity to reassess entry points. - LITE Maintained by Jefferies -- Price Target Raised to $1250 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Jefferies raised its price target for LITE to 1250, signaling analyst confidence in the company's fundamentals. However, TickrTrends' current derived verdict rates LITE as overvalued within the Technology sector, suggesting the stock may be trading above levels justified by its financial metrics. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the analyst's price target adjustment reflects a reassessment of LITE's intrinsic value or if the gap between current valuation and fundamentals persists. - A Look at Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) After 5.2% Decline -- GF Value $182.79 vs Price $824.13 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Lumentum Holdings Inc trades at a substantial premium to its GF Value estimate, with the stock price significantly exceeding the calculated intrinsic value by a wide margin. The recent decline has not substantially narrowed this valuation gap, leaving LITE at levels that TickrTrends classifies as overvalued within the Technology sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether fundamental business improvements justify the current pricing or if the spread between market price and estimated value continues to present a valuation concern.
More LITE news
- Lumentum Holdings (LITE) Maintains Strong Growth Outlook Amid AI Demand (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Lumentum: The CPO Winner Investors Are Overlooking (NASDAQ:LITE) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-10)
- LITE Maintained by Rosenblatt -- Price Target Remains at $1300 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
What people are saying
Follow the LITE conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for LITE show that the company's sector discount rank moved from 165 to 178 this week, indicating a relative weakening of its valuation position within the Technology sector. LITE continues to carry an Overvalued verdict according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for LITE showed movement in sector valuation positioning this week, with the stock's sector discount rank improving from #185 to #167 among Technology sector companies. The current valuation verdict remains Overvalued. This shift indicates the stock has become relatively less expensive compared to its peer group, though it continues to trade above its derived fair value estimate.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is LITE stock undervalued?
LITE does not yet have sufficient validated earnings history for a full Forward Fair Value verdict under TickrTrends' standards; it is re-evaluated every week.
What is LITE's TickrTrends verdict?
LITE is currently marked 'Awaiting full valuation' - a verdict publishes automatically once at least six validated trailing P/E windows accumulate.
How does LITE compare to other Technology stocks?
LITE ranks #80 of 274 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by quality score. It carries no fair-value verdict yet, so it is not ranked by discount.
Is LITE overbought or oversold?
LITE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does LITE report earnings next?
LITE's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does LITE usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters LITE beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about LITE?
Of 27 analysts covering LITE, 23 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $1180 (+6.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.