Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs and manufactures microcontrollers, analog semiconductors, and related semiconductor products used in a wide range of applications including automotive, industrial, consumer, and computing devices. The company operates globally with manufacturing, design, and sales facilities across multiple continents including North America, Europe, and Asia.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, MCHP is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

MCHP currently ranks #129 of 199 Technology stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $74.17
Sector: Technology
12-month range: $53.43–$93.95

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: B
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for MCHP

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MCHP, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $53.43–$93.95.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 47.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MCHP
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent MCHP news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MCHP is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

Is Microchip Technology Stock Underperforming the S&P 500? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-07)
TickrTrends take: Microchip Technology operates in the Technology sector where competitive pressures and market dynamics regularly test valuation assumptions. At its current Fairly valued assessment, the stock's performance relative to the S&P 500 reflects how market participants are pricing in the company's growth prospects and profitability against sector benchmarks. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether any widening performance gap stems from fundamental changes to the company's business outlook or represents a repricing opportunity within the Technology sector.
How to Build a Humanoid Brain (etftrends.com, 2026-08-19)
TickrTrends take: Microchip Technology operates in a sector where advancement in artificial intelligence and robotics capabilities could influence long-term demand for semiconductor components and microcontrollers. As the technology industry explores humanoid robotics development, companies supplying the computational hardware and control systems for such applications may experience shifts in their addressable markets and revenue growth trajectories. Given MCHP's current fairly valued status, investors should monitor whether the company's product roadmap and customer wins in emerging AI and robotics applications justify any potential revaluation.
Microchip Technology (MCHP) Signals Cyclical Recovery with Q4 Beat and Strong Guidance (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-13)
TickrTrends take: Microchip Technology's Q4 performance beat and strong forward guidance suggest the company is progressing through a cyclical recovery phase in the semiconductor industry. Given that TickrTrends currently rates MCHP as fairly valued, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether sustained revenue growth and margin expansion can justify any upward repricing, or whether current fundamentals are already reflected in the stock's price. The strength of demand signals and inventory normalization in coming quarters will be key indicators for determining whether the company can maintain its recovery momentum or faces headwinds that would pressure valuations in a cyclical downturn.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is MCHP stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), MCHP is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is MCHP's TickrTrends verdict?

MCHP's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does MCHP compare to other Technology stocks?

MCHP ranks #129 of 199 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is MCHP overbought or oversold?

MCHP's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Technology fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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