NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
NRG price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedNRG is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $107.97
- Sector
- Utilities
- 12-month range
- $95.23–$184.03
- Market cap
- $22.7B
- From 52-week high
- -41.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 210M
- Rank in Utilities by discount to fair value
- #25 of 36
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
NRG Energy, Inc. is a major power generation and retail electricity company that produces and sells electricity and energy products to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates power plants and provides energy services across the United States.
NRG currently ranks #25 of 36 Utilities stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 4 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $22.7B
- P/E (trailing)
- 16x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $36.8B
- Net margin
- 2.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $6.80
- Gross margin
- 14.5%
- Debt / equity
- 4.83
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 13.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 210M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 47 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $109.24
- 200-day average
- $138.19
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.86 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.73%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 6
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-03
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-17
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-10.2%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-13.9%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+2.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+30.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+4.8%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+58.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+61.8%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-5.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 13 buy · 3 hold · 0 sell (16 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $185
- Target vs last price
- +71.3%
What our data shows for NRG
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NRG, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $95.23–$184.03.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 47.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NRG
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent NRG news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NRG is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Investors Heavily Search NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG): Here is What You Need to Know (zacks.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: NRG Energy operates in the Utilities sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued according to TickrTrends metrics. The elevated investor search interest in the company suggests market attention that warrants monitoring to determine whether current valuation assumptions remain appropriate or if fundamental changes warrant reassessment. A fairly valued designation indicates the stock's current price reflects known information, so investors should track whether the surge in search activity correlates with new developments that could alter this valuation standing. - NRG Energy Inc (NRG) Stock Down 4.2% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 78/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: NRG Energy's recent stock decline has shifted its positioning relative to TickrTrends' fairly valued assessment, suggesting the market may be pricing in concerns that extend beyond fundamental value metrics. With a GF Score of 78, the company demonstrates solid quality characteristics, though valuation-focused investors should monitor whether this pullback represents a genuine opportunity or reflects sector-wide pressures affecting utilities. The gap between NRG's quality score and its current valuation warrant close attention to see if the market reprices the stock toward fair value or if additional headwinds emerge. - NRG Energy (NRG) Shares Fall 4.21% Amid Market Volatility on October 19, 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: NRG Energy shares declined on October 19, 2026, reflecting broader market turbulence rather than company-specific developments. With TickrTrends currently assessing NRG as fairly valued within the Utilities sector, investors monitoring the stock should distinguish between temporary price movements and fundamental valuation changes. A sustained decline from these levels could present a reassessment opportunity for those tracking the company's intrinsic value relative to its market price.
More NRG news
- NRG Energy (NRG) Maintains Quarterly Dividend at $0.475, Yielding 1.83% (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- Here is What to Know Beyond Why NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is a Trending Stock (zacks.com, 2026-10-09)
- NRG Energy Inc (NRG) Stock Down 3.4% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 80/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-28)
- NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know (zacks.com, 2026-09-23)
What people are saying
Follow the NRG conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — # NRG Energy NRG moved up in the sector discount rankings this week, improving from 18th to 11th place among utilities stocks based on TickrTrends' derived indicators. This improvement reflects a strengthening valuation position relative to peers in the sector. NRG maintains an undervalued verdict in its current assessment.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — NRG has moved up in sector discount rankings this week, improving from number 27 to number 18 among utilities stocks. The company's valuation verdict has shifted from fairly valued to undervalued, reflecting a positive change in its relative valuation position within the sector.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NRG stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NRG is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NRG's TickrTrends verdict?
NRG's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NRG compare to other Utilities stocks?
NRG ranks #25 of 36 Utilities stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NRG overbought or oversold?
NRG's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does NRG pay a dividend?
Yes. NRG paid $1.86 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.73% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 6 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-03.
When does NRG report earnings next?
NRG's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does NRG usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NRG beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NRG?
Of 16 analysts covering NRG, 13 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $185 (+71.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Utilities
Head-to-head comparisons
NRG vs AEE · NRG vs ATO · NRG vs CNP · NRG vs D · NRG vs DUK