NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
NXPI price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedNXPI is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $227.52
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $184.19–$332.67
- Market cap
- $57.4B
- From 52-week high
- -31.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 252M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #64 of 181
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
NXP Semiconductors N.V. designs and manufactures semiconductor products used in automotive, industrial, Internet of Things, and mobile applications. The company operates globally with headquarters in the Netherlands and manufacturing, design, and sales facilities located across multiple continents.
NXPI currently ranks #64 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $57.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 18x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $13.2B
- Net margin
- 22.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $12.75
- Gross margin
- 57.3%
- Debt / equity
- 0.96
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 0.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 252M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 51 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $230.18
- 200-day average
- $246.04
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $4.06 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.78%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-16
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-08
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-27 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+1.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+2.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+1.2%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-0.3%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+2.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+1.5%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+1.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+0.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 22 buy · 7 hold · 1 sell (30 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $307
- Target vs last price
- +34.9%
What our data shows for NXPI
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NXPI, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $184.19–$332.67.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 51.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NXPI
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent NXPI news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NXPI is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- NXP Semiconductors: Slightly Undervalued, But Not Cheap Enough To Buy (NASDAQ:NXPI) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-06)
TickrTrends take: NXP Semiconductors trades in the Technology sector where valuations can fluctuate significantly based on semiconductor cycle dynamics and competitive positioning. TickrTrends currently derives an undervalued verdict for NXPI, which aligns with analyst perspectives suggesting the stock offers some margin of safety relative to intrinsic value. For valuation-focused investors, the key consideration is monitoring whether the discount widens further or narrows as market conditions and earnings fundamentals evolve. - VisionPower Semiconductor Opens New 12-Inch Fab in Singapore, Boosting NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-28)
TickrTrends take: NXP Semiconductors operates in a capital-intensive semiconductor industry where manufacturing capacity directly influences competitive positioning and future revenue potential. The expansion of fab capacity in the region represents a meaningful development for a company currently assessed as undervalued by TickrTrends, as increased production capability could support margin expansion and market share gains. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this capacity addition translates into improved utilization rates and operating leverage in upcoming quarterly results. - VSMC Celebrates the Grand Opening of Its First 300mm Fab in Singapore (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-28)
TickrTrends take: VSMC's expansion into 300mm wafer fabrication in Singapore represents infrastructure investment that could strengthen semiconductor supply chains for companies like NXP, a major fabless chipmaker. As NXPI currently trades at an undervalued level according to TickrTrends, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether this capacity addition improves industry dynamics and NXP's ability to secure reliable manufacturing partners. The development of regional semiconductor manufacturing capacity may reduce supply chain risks that have historically pressured technology sector valuations.
What people are saying
Follow the NXPI conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — NXPI's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from 83rd to 91st among Technology sector stocks. This shift indicates the stock has become relatively less discounted compared to its Technology sector peers. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — NXPI's sector discount rank declined to #95 this week from #86, indicating it is ranked lower among Technology sector companies by discount metric. The stock maintains an Undervalued valuation verdict according to TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) in the Technology sector has improved its sector discount rank from number 95 to number 85 this week according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. The stock maintains an undervalued verdict on current valuation metrics. This movement suggests NXPI is becoming more favorably positioned relative to its sector peers.
- 2026-09-21 — # NXPI Weekly Indicator Summary NXPI's 50/200-day trend state shifted from mixed to downtrend this week, indicating weakening momentum in the stock's short-term price movement relative to its longer-term trajectory. Despite this deterioration in technical positioning, the stock maintains an undervalued status according to TickrTrends' current valuation assessment. The downtrend development warrants monitoring of whether the valuation discount may narrow or whether technical support levels will provide stabilization.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NXPI stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NXPI is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NXPI's TickrTrends verdict?
NXPI's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NXPI compare to other Technology stocks?
NXPI ranks #64 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NXPI overbought or oversold?
NXPI's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does NXPI pay a dividend?
Yes. NXPI paid $4.06 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.78% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-16.
When does NXPI report earnings next?
NXPI's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-27 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does NXPI usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NXPI beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NXPI?
Of 30 analysts covering NXPI, 22 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $307 (+34.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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