Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
NXST price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedNXST is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $164.59
- Sector
- Communication Services
- 12-month range
- $154.70–$253.64
- Market cap
- $5.07B
- From 52-week high
- -35.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 30.8M
- Rank in Communication Services by discount to fair value
- #9 of 29
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. is a television broadcasting company that owns and operates television stations across the United States. The company provides local news, weather, and entertainment programming to communities throughout the country via its network of affiliated stations.
NXST currently ranks #9 of 29 Communication Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $5.07B
- P/E (trailing)
- 11x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $6.96B
- Net margin
- 2.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $15.57
- Gross margin
- 64.7%
- Debt / equity
- 5.34
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 57.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 30.8M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 55 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $172.01
- 200-day average
- $194.42
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $7.44 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 4.52%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 12
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-14
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-28
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-44.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+50.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+7.2%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-42.6%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+3.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+10.3%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-29.8%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-19.5%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 8 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell (8 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $247
- Target vs last price
- +50.1%
What our data shows for NXST
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NXST, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $154.70–$253.64.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 55.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NXST
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent NXST news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NXST is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- TEGNA Appoints Tim Thomas to Lead WXIA-WATL in Atlanta and WMAZ in Macon (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: TEGNA's appointment of Tim Thomas to lead stations in the Atlanta and Macon markets reflects ongoing management activity within the media broadcasting segment of the Communication Services sector. TickrTrends currently indicates NXST is undervalued, and operational changes at competitors like TEGNA warrant monitoring as they may signal broader trends in station leadership, market positioning, and operational efficiency within the regional broadcasting space. Investors focused on valuation metrics should track how such management transitions correlate with market performance and strategic direction across the communication services industry. - TEGNA Taps Proven Revenue Leaders for Top Sales Roles (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: TEGNA's announcement regarding new sales leadership comes as NXST trades at an undervalued designation according to TickrTrends analysis within the Communication Services sector. Revenue execution capabilities will be important to monitor given that sales leadership changes can materially affect top-line performance, which forms a key component of valuation calculations. Investors focused on valuation metrics should track whether these leadership appointments translate into actual revenue growth that could either validate or alter NXST's current undervalued positioning. - TEGNA and Disney Entertainment Television Renew ABC Affiliation Agreements in 13 Markets (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: TEGNA's renewal of ABC affiliation agreements across 13 markets represents contractual stability for the broadcaster, which is relevant for investors tracking NXST's valuation positioning within the Communication Services sector. The retention of these major network partnerships supports predictable revenue streams that underpin the company's financial performance and cash generation capacity. Investors evaluating whether NXST trades below intrinsic value should monitor how successfully the company converts this affiliate stability into sustained profitability and free cash flow metrics.
More NXST news
- TEGNA CEO Patrick Paolini Appoints Three Group General Managers, Rounding Out His Leadership Team (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-12)
- Nexstar Media Group (NXST) Insider Sale: President of Broadcasting Andrew Alford Sells 2,823 Shares (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-24)
What people are saying
Follow the NXST conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — NXST's technical indicators shifted this week as the Relative Strength Index moved from oversold territory into neutral range, suggesting reduced selling pressure. The stock maintains an undervalued rating based on current valuation metrics within the Communication Services sector.
- 2026-09-21 — NXST's technical profile shifted this week as its Relative Strength Index moved from the neutral zone into oversold territory, suggesting the stock may have experienced selling pressure. The stock remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation metrics within the Communication Services sector.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NXST stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NXST is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NXST's TickrTrends verdict?
NXST's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NXST compare to other Communication Services stocks?
NXST ranks #9 of 29 Communication Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NXST overbought or oversold?
NXST's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does NXST pay a dividend?
Yes. NXST paid $7.44 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 4.52% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 12 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-14.
When does NXST report earnings next?
NXST's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does NXST usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NXST beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NXST?
Of 8 analysts covering NXST, 8 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $247 (+50.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Communication Services
Head-to-head comparisons
NXST vs APP · NXST vs CHTR · NXST vs CMCSA · NXST vs DIS · NXST vs NEXN