Pony AI Inc. (PONY) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
PONY price how computed
Valuation status
No fair-value estimate yetPONY has no usable analyst consensus for next fiscal year's earnings, or too few reported quarters for our trailing P/E history.
Forward Fair Value needs both, so TickrTrends publishes no verdict for PONY yet. We re-check every week; the price, fundamentals, technicals and earnings data below are unaffected.
- Last price
- $4.93
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $4.93–$21.87
- Market cap
- $2.63B
- From 52-week high
- -77.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 533M
- Rank in Technology by quality score
- #241 of 274
Last price is the 2026-10-16 close; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Pony AI Inc. is an autonomous driving company that develops self-driving vehicle technology and software platforms. The company operates primarily in China, with research and development activities supporting its autonomous vehicle initiatives.
PONY currently ranks #241 of 274 Technology stocks by quality score.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $2.63B
- P/E (trailing)
- n/m
- Revenue (TTM)
- $125M
- Net margin
- -118.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $-0.48
- Gross margin
- 17.5%
- Debt / equity
- 0.01
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 7.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 533M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 22 · oversold
- 50-day average
- $6.95
- 200-day average
- $9.82
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-24
- Last 3 quarters vs consensus
- 2 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+23.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+30.8%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-154.5%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 17 buy · 1 hold · 0 sell (18 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $19.9
- Target vs last price
- +303.7%
What our data shows for PONY
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $4.93–$21.87.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 22.
What subscribers see
- Every published Forward Fair Value with its exact discount or premium
- The normalized P/E and quarter count behind each estimate
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
- PONY's own verdict the week it qualifies, published automatically
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
What people are saying
Follow the PONY conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for PONY showed a shift in the Relative Strength Index this week, moving from a neutral zone into oversold territory. The stock's valuation verdict remains awaiting full valuation as of this reporting period.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.
Frequently asked questions
Is PONY stock undervalued?
TickrTrends has no fair-value estimate for PONY yet: there is no usable analyst consensus for next fiscal year's earnings, or too few reported quarters for a trailing P/E history. It is re-checked every week.
What is PONY's TickrTrends verdict?
PONY is currently marked 'No fair-value estimate yet' - a verdict publishes automatically once a forward earnings consensus and enough reported quarters are available.
How does PONY compare to other Technology stocks?
PONY ranks #241 of 274 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by quality score. It carries no fair-value verdict yet, so it is not ranked by discount.
Is PONY overbought or oversold?
PONY's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
When does PONY report earnings next?
PONY's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-24, per the published earnings calendar.
Does PONY usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 3 reported quarters PONY beat the consensus estimate 2 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about PONY?
Of 18 analysts covering PONY, 17 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $19.9 (+303.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.