Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
STX price how computed
Valuation status
No verdict this weekSTX: Next year's consensus is far above both what this company earned over the last four quarters and what its most recent quarter is earning.
Our model does not publish a verdict on a forecast that far from results; it is re-evaluated weekly.
- Last price
- $783.00
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $223.00–$1,094.04
- Market cap
- $178B
- From 52-week high
- -28.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 227M
- Rank in Technology by quality score
- #97 of 274
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Seagate Technology Holdings plc manufactures data storage devices including hard disk drives and solid state drives for computers, data centers, and consumer electronics. The company operates globally with manufacturing, research, and distribution facilities across multiple continents to serve customers worldwide.
STX currently ranks #97 of 274 Technology stocks by quality score.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $178B
- P/E (trailing)
- 51x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.2B
- Net margin
- 26.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $15.30
- Gross margin
- 52.3%
- Debt / equity
- 1.78
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 49.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 227M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 32 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $841.65
- 200-day average
- $674.45
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.96 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.38%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 2
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-24
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-07
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-27 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+12.1%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+16.8%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+9.5%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+8.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+6.1%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+9.2%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+8.0%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+8.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 22 buy · 2 hold · 1 sell (25 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $1130
- Target vs last price
- +44.3%
What our data shows for STX
- Our model validated 13 trailing price-to-earnings windows for STX, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $223.00–$1,094.04.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 32.
What subscribers see
- Every published Forward Fair Value with its exact discount or premium
- The normalized P/E and quarter count behind each estimate
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
- STX's own verdict the week it qualifies, published automatically
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent STX news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for STX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- How Did Seagate (STX) Triple Selling a Technology Everyone Buried? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-18)
TickrTrends take: Seagate's ability to triple sales in a sector many had written off suggests the company found viable markets or use cases that contradicted prevailing assumptions about its core technology. TickrTrends currently rates STX as undervalued within the Technology sector, which means the market price may not fully reflect the company's revenue growth or operational performance. Investors monitoring the stock should observe whether this sales expansion continues and how it translates to profitability metrics, as these factors will be central to determining whether the undervalued assessment holds. - Seagate’s Dividend Has a Large Cash Cushion. Does It Offer Much Income? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-09)
TickrTrends take: Seagate's demonstrated ability to maintain dividend payments while building cash reserves suggests financial stability that a valuation-focused investor would want to monitor for sustainability. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment of STX within the Technology sector, the company's cash position becomes particularly relevant in determining whether the current valuation reflects genuine underpricing or income sustainability concerns. Investors should track whether Seagate's cash cushion supports both its dividend commitments and capital expenditure needs, as this balance will influence whether the undervalued status holds through market cycles. - Can Seagate’s (STX) AI-Driven Growth Justify Its Sky-High Expectations? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-09)
TickrTrends take: Seagate operates in the Technology sector where companies with AI-driven growth narratives often command premium valuations, yet TickrTrends currently rates STX as undervalued based on its derived analysis. The market's assessment of whether AI capabilities can sustainably drive future revenue growth will be critical in determining whether the current valuation gap narrows or widens. Valuation-focused investors should monitor whether STX can translate its AI initiatives into measurable earnings growth that justifies investor expectations versus what is already priced into the stock.
More STX news
- Seagate Closed at $805.63, Down 9.18%, and Western Digital Closed at $411.04, Down 6.93% (financefeeds.com, 2026-10-07)
What people are saying
Follow the STX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — STX's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from 81st to 87th position among Technology sector stocks ranked by valuation discount. This shift indicates that STX is trading with relatively less discount compared to other Technology companies. The stock maintains an Undervalued valuation verdict according to TickrTrends' current assessment.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — STX moved from an uptrend to a mixed trend state in its 50/200-day analysis this week, while its sector discount ranking improved from number 110 to number 98. The stock's valuation verdict shifted from fairly valued to undervalued, suggesting the technology sector company may now offer better value relative to its peers.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — STX entered an uptrend based on its 50/200-day moving average relationship, transitioning from a mixed trend state in the previous week. The stock remains trading at levels considered undervalued according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. This shift to uptrend conditions represents a technical development in the stock's price momentum within the Technology sector.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is STX stock undervalued?
STX does not yet have sufficient validated earnings history for a full Forward Fair Value verdict under TickrTrends' standards; it is re-evaluated every week.
What is STX's TickrTrends verdict?
STX is currently marked 'Awaiting full valuation' - a verdict publishes automatically once at least six validated trailing P/E windows accumulate.
How does STX compare to other Technology stocks?
STX ranks #97 of 274 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by quality score. It carries no fair-value verdict yet, so it is not ranked by discount.
Is STX overbought or oversold?
STX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does STX pay a dividend?
Yes. STX paid $2.96 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.38% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 2 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-24.
When does STX report earnings next?
STX's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-27 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does STX usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters STX beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about STX?
Of 25 analysts covering STX, 22 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $1130 (+44.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.