The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
TTD price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedTTD is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $12.23
- Sector
- Communication Services
- 12-month range
- $11.92–$53.61
- Market cap
- $5.26B
- From 52-week high
- -77.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 430M
- Rank in Communication Services by discount to fair value
- #24 of 29
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Trade Desk, Inc. is a software platform company that provides advertising technology solutions enabling advertisers and agencies to purchase digital media inventory programmatically across multiple channels including display, video, audio, and connected television. The company operates globally, serving customers across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other international markets.
TTD currently ranks #24 of 29 Communication Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $5.26B
- P/E (trailing)
- 8x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.99B
- Net margin
- 13.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.46
- Gross margin
- 100.0%
- Debt / equity
- 0.17
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 15.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 430M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 35 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $13.29
- 200-day average
- $21.33
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-36.4%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+132.2%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+73.6%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+2.3%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-18.2%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+32.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+3.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+5.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 5 buy · 23 hold · 8 sell (36 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $13.5
- Target vs last price
- +10.4%
What our data shows for TTD
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TTD, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $11.92–$53.61.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 35.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TTD
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent TTD news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TTD is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- The Trade Desk Inc (TTD) Stock Down 6.8% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 82/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-17)
TickrTrends take: The Trade Desk operates in the Communication Services sector where valuation metrics significantly influence investor decisions. With TickrTrends currently assessing TTD as undervalued, the recent stock decline presents a potential opportunity for investors focused on valuation fundamentals. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the company's underlying business performance justifies the current undervalued designation or whether further price adjustments may follow. - The Trade Desk (TTD) Has Fallen 77% While the Market Rose. Is 14 Times Earnings Enough? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-05)
TickrTrends take: The Trade Desk trades at 14 times earnings while having experienced a significant decline relative to broader market gains, placing it among the lower valuation multiples in the Communication Services sector. TickrTrends' undervalued assessment suggests the current price may not fully reflect the company's underlying fundamentals or growth potential. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether TTD's earnings trajectory and competitive positioning can justify sustaining or re-rating these compressed multiples. - The Trade Desk vs. Alphabet: Is the Cheaper AI Advertising Stock Worth the Risk? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-04)
TickrTrends take: The Trade Desk operates in the competitive Communication Services sector where it competes directly with larger players like Alphabet in AI-driven advertising technology. TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for TTD, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's positioning in the growing AI advertising segment. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether TTD's relative cost compared to competitors reflects genuine opportunity or carries execution risk that the market is appropriately discounting.
More TTD news
- The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) -- Digital Advertising Innovator | Saga Portfolio Q3 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
What people are saying
Follow the TTD conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is TTD stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), TTD is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is TTD's TickrTrends verdict?
TTD's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does TTD compare to other Communication Services stocks?
TTD ranks #24 of 29 Communication Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is TTD overbought or oversold?
TTD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does TTD report earnings next?
TTD's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does TTD usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters TTD beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about TTD?
Of 36 analysts covering TTD, 5 rate it a buy, 23 a hold and 8 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $13.5 (+10.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Communication Services
Head-to-head comparisons
TTD vs APP · TTD vs BZ · TTD vs CHTR · TTD vs DIS · TTD vs NWSA