Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
TXN price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedTXN is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $283.74
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $153.33–$332.28
- Market cap
- $259B
- From 52-week high
- -14.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 913M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #115 of 181
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Texas Instruments Incorporated designs and manufactures semiconductors and integrated circuits that are used in a wide range of electronic devices and applications. The company operates globally with manufacturing, design, and sales facilities across multiple continents serving customers in industrial, automotive, personal electronics, and communications markets.
TXN currently ranks #115 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $259B
- P/E (trailing)
- 43x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $19.5B
- Net margin
- 31.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $6.66
- Gross margin
- 61.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.78
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 913M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 58 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $272.30
- 200-day average
- $254.27
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $5.68 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.00%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 22
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-30
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-11
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+12.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+22.6%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-3.1%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+5.4%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+6.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+16.4%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+8.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+2.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 20 buy · 14 hold · 2 sell (36 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $325
- Target vs last price
- +14.5%
What our data shows for TXN
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TXN, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $153.33–$332.28.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 58.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TXN
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent TXN news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TXN is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Broadcom (AVGO) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN): Higher Income or Stronger Dividend Coverage? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Texas Instruments trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as overvalued within the Technology sector. A comparison with peers like Broadcom raises questions about whether TXN's current price reflects sustainable income generation relative to dividend obligations and competitive positioning. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether TXN's fundamentals can justify its present market price or whether mean reversion may occur. - Sandisk (SNDK) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN): How Much Cash-Yield Protection Does Memory Offer? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Texas Instruments trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as overvalued within the Technology sector. The comparison drawn between TXN and memory-focused peers like Sandisk highlights how different business models within semiconductors can support varying cash return profiles, which becomes relevant when evaluating whether TXN's current price justifies its operational characteristics. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether TXN's cash generation and shareholder returns can support its present market valuation relative to comparable technology companies. - Market Retreats as Tech and Biotech Lead Afternoon Sell-Off; Energy Defies Trend (thestockmarketwatch.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Texas Instruments operates in the Technology sector, which according to the headline experienced notable selling pressure during an afternoon market retreat. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that TXN is overvalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether continued tech sector weakness creates opportunities to reassess the company's pricing relative to fundamentals. The divergence shown by energy stocks outperforming technology during this sell-off may influence sector rotation patterns and investor appetite for technology holdings like TXN in the near term.
More TXN news
- Is Trending Stock Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) a Buy Now? (zacks.com, 2026-09-24)
- AI infrastructure Boom Fuels Texas Instruments’ (TXN) Rally (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-22)
- Texas Instruments (TXN) Signals Planned Dividend Increase in New 8-K Filing (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-18)
What people are saying
Follow the TXN conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TXN's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from 144th to 150th position, indicating it is now ranked lower in value relative to other Technology sector stocks. With a current valuation verdict of Overvalued, TXN's relative position within the sector has shifted toward fewer attractive valuations based on TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TXN's sector discount rank declined from 140 to 148 this week, indicating the stock has moved further away from discount valuations within the Technology sector. With a current valuation verdict of Overvalued, TXN is positioned among the less attractively valued names in its peer group.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is TXN stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), TXN is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is TXN's TickrTrends verdict?
TXN's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does TXN compare to other Technology stocks?
TXN ranks #115 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is TXN overbought or oversold?
TXN's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does TXN pay a dividend?
Yes. TXN paid $5.68 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.00% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 22 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-10-30.
Does TXN usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters TXN beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about TXN?
Of 36 analysts covering TXN, 20 rate it a buy, 14 a hold and 2 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $325 (+14.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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