Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
ADSK price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedADSK is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $235.35
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $187.72–$313.53
- Market cap
- $49.2B
- From 52-week high
- -24.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 209M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #24 of 181
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Autodesk, Inc. develops and sells software for design, engineering, and construction professionals across multiple industries including architecture, manufacturing, media, and entertainment. The company operates globally with customers and operations in North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other regions worldwide.
ADSK currently ranks #24 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $49.2B
- P/E (trailing)
- 25x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $7.79B
- Net margin
- 21.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $9.49
- Gross margin
- 91.4%
- Debt / equity
- 1.10
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 14.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 209M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 63 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $233.31
- 200-day average
- $235.73
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Dividend
- None in the last 12 months (last ex-date 2005-03-22)
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-24
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+3.4%)
2026-04 ▲ beat (+10.8%)
2026-01 ▲ beat (+5.7%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+6.8%)
2025-07 ▲ beat (+6.9%)
2025-04 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
2025-01 ▲ beat (+7.0%)
2024-10 ▲ beat (+2.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 30 buy · 6 hold · 0 sell (36 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $308
- Target vs last price
- +30.9%
What our data shows for ADSK
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ADSK, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $187.72–$313.53.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 63.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ADSK
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ADSK news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ADSK is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Autodesk: Its Biggest Growth Starts Where Construction Ends (NASDAQ:ADSK) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Autodesk's expansion beyond construction into adjacent markets represents significant revenue diversification potential that could drive earnings growth independent of cyclical building sector dynamics. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's ability to penetrate new verticals translates into margin expansion and recurring revenue growth that justifies a premium to its current market pricing. The Technology sector's typical valuation multiples suggest there is room for ADSK to narrow any valuation gap if execution in these emerging markets accelerates profitability. - Autodesk (ADSK) vs. PTC and TRMB: Can Cloud and AI Investments Drive Faster Earnings Growth? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Autodesk's competitive positioning against peers like PTC and Trimble depends significantly on whether its cloud and AI investments translate into measurable earnings acceleration that can justify its current valuation multiple. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether management demonstrates tangible progress in converting these technology investments into revenue growth and margin expansion. The Technology sector's competitive dynamics mean that execution on AI capabilities and cloud infrastructure could be key factors in determining whether ADSK can deliver returns that reflect its current pricing. - Adobe (ADBE) vs. Autodesk (ADSK): Which AI-Hit Software Stock Has the Better Comeback? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-06)
TickrTrends take: Autodesk operates in the Technology sector where AI capabilities are becoming increasingly central to competitive positioning and product differentiation. TickrTrends' current derived verdict rates ADSK as undervalued, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's ability to integrate artificial intelligence into its design and engineering software portfolio. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether ADSK's financial performance and margin expansion justify this undervalued assessment as the software industry continues adapting to AI-driven product cycles.
More ADSK news
- A Look at Autodesk Inc (ADSK) After 4.5% Gain -- GF Value $360.66 vs Price $221.56 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
- Autodesk: Market Is Mispricing This Asset-Light AI Beneficiary (NASDAQ:ADSK) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-02)
What people are saying
Follow the ADSK conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — # ADSK Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for ADSK show a shift in relative valuation positioning this week. The sector discount rank moved from #30 to #36, indicating the stock has become less discounted relative to other Technology sector peers. Despite this change in comparative ranking, the current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for ADSK showed a change in momentum classification this week, as the previous B-grade momentum rating was removed. The Technology sector stock maintains an Undervalued valuation verdict based on current analysis. This shift in momentum indicators reflects a change in the stock's price movement characteristics compared to the prior week.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ADSK stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ADSK is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ADSK's TickrTrends verdict?
ADSK's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ADSK compare to other Technology stocks?
ADSK ranks #24 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ADSK overbought or oversold?
ADSK's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ADSK pay a dividend?
ADSK has paid no dividend in the last twelve months; its last ex-dividend date on file was 2005-03-22.
When does ADSK report earnings next?
ADSK's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-24, per the published earnings calendar.
Does ADSK usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ADSK beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ADSK?
Of 36 analysts covering ADSK, 30 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $308 (+30.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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