Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
ALGT price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedALGT is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $66.98
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $58.03–$119.16
- Market cap
- $1.83B
- From 52-week high
- -43.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 27.3M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #1 of 106
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Allegiant Travel Company is an ultra-low-cost airline that operates scheduled passenger air service across the United States. The airline focuses on serving smaller cities and leisure destinations, offering point-to-point routes with a business model centered on keeping operational costs low.
ALGT currently ranks #1 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.83B
- P/E (trailing)
- 10x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.89B
- Net margin
- 0.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $6.72
- Gross margin
- 61.4%
- Debt / equity
- 1.60
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 22.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 27.3M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 33 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $78.52
- 200-day average
- $88.52
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Dividend
- None in the last 12 months (last ex-date 2024-05-14)
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-03
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+72.4%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+8.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+43.2%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-16.1%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+44.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+16.8%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+1.4%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-8.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 11 buy · 3 hold · 0 sell (14 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $117
- Target vs last price
- +74.7%
What our data shows for ALGT
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ALGT, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $58.03–$119.16.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 33.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ALGT
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ALGT news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ALGT is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Has Upside as Sun Country Merger Synergies Build (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-18)
TickrTrends take: Allegiant Travel Company operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as undervalued according to TickrTrends. The merger with Sun Country presents an opportunity to realize operational synergies that could improve financial performance and justify a higher valuation multiple if successfully executed. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the company can translate these synergies into tangible earnings growth that supports a re-rating of the stock. - ALGT Looks 1.7% Undervalued on GF Value™ as UBS Upgrades to Buy (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-14)
TickrTrends take: ALGT's recent upgrade to Buy by UBS occurs within the context of TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock is undervalued, suggesting some convergence between institutional and quantitative valuation perspectives. A valuation-focused reader in the Industrials sector should monitor whether this analyst endorsement helps close the valuation gap or whether the stock's fundamental metrics continue to support further appreciation. The modest undervaluation margin means that investors should track whether UBS's upgrade catalyzes meaningful repricing or if additional catalysts will be needed to fully realize the value TickrTrends has identified. - ALGT Looks 1.9% Undervalued on GF Value™ as UBS Upgrades to Buy (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-14)
TickrTrends take: ALGT's UBS upgrade to Buy aligns with TickrTrends' assessment that the stock trades below its intrinsic value, suggesting potential convergence between analyst sentiment and valuation metrics in the Industrials sector. The modest undervaluation gap of under 2 percent indicated by GF Value implies the stock may have limited margin of safety, making execution on fundamental improvements critical for realizing value gains. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the UBS upgrade catalyzes broader institutional recognition of ALGT's worth or if the stock requires additional positive developments to close the valuation gap.
What people are saying
Follow the ALGT conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for ALGT show a shift this week, with the 50/200-day trend state moving from mixed to downtrend. The stock remains classified as undervalued according to current valuation metrics. This technical deterioration suggests a change in the intermediate-term momentum picture for the industrials company.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ALGT stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ALGT is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ALGT's TickrTrends verdict?
ALGT's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ALGT compare to other Industrials stocks?
ALGT ranks #1 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ALGT overbought or oversold?
ALGT's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ALGT pay a dividend?
ALGT has paid no dividend in the last twelve months; its last ex-dividend date on file was 2024-05-14.
When does ALGT report earnings next?
ALGT's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-03, per the published earnings calendar.
Does ALGT usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ALGT beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ALGT?
Of 14 analysts covering ALGT, 11 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $117 (+74.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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