Allegion plc (ALLE) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
ALLE price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedALLE is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $150.48
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $125.65–$179.77
- Market cap
- $12.8B
- From 52-week high
- -16.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 85M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #40 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Allegion plc is a global provider of security products and solutions for doors and access control systems, serving both commercial and residential markets. The company operates across multiple regions including North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.
ALLE currently ranks #40 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 11 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $12.8B
- P/E (trailing)
- 18x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.29B
- Net margin
- 15.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $8.44
- Gross margin
- 44.9%
- Debt / equity
- 0.96
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 8.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 85M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 59 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $156.60
- 200-day average
- $149.88
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.16 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.44%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 11
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-15
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-30
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+7.6%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-5.3%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-2.5%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+2.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+2.5%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+11.4%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+6.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+9.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 5 buy · 6 hold · 0 sell (11 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $178
- Target vs last price
- +18.3%
What our data shows for ALLE
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ALLE, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $125.65–$179.77.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 59.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ALLE
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ALLE news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ALLE is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Allegion (ALLE) Completes Acquisition of Overly Door Company to Expand Specialty Security Solutions (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
TickrTrends take: Allegion's acquisition of Overly Door Company represents a strategic expansion into specialty security solutions that could enhance the company's market position within the industrials sector. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how this acquisition integrates operationally and whether it drives margin expansion or revenue synergies that justify the purchase price. The success of this bolt-on acquisition will be an important factor in determining whether the current valuation discount reflects genuine undervaluation or requires reassessment based on integration execution. - Allegion PLC's Dividend Analysis (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-15)
TickrTrends take: Allegion PLC operates in the Industrials sector where steady dividend performance can signal financial health and management confidence in future cash generation. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that ALLE is undervalued, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether dividend sustainability and growth align with the company's underlying earnings power and capital allocation priorities. A dividend analysis in this context matters because it reveals whether ALLE's stock price discount relative to its intrinsic value is justified by the actual cash returns available to shareholders. - Allegion declares $0.55 dividend (NYSE:ALLE) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: Allegion's dividend declaration reflects management confidence in cash generation capabilities, a factor that supports the company's Fairly valued assessment within the Industrials sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company maintains this dividend commitment while continuing capital investments or debt reduction, as dividend sustainability directly influences long-term shareholder returns and valuation multiples. The dividend yield relative to industry peers and the company's free cash flow trends will be key metrics to evaluate whether the Fairly valued status remains appropriate going forward.
What people are saying
Follow the ALLE conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for ALLE show a decline in relative valuation strength this week, with the sector discount rank moving from 41st to 47th position among industrials companies. Despite this weakening in comparative valuation metrics, the stock maintains an undervalued assessment based on current analysis. The shift suggests ALLE has become less favorably valued relative to its sector peers over the past week.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ALLE stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ALLE is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ALLE's TickrTrends verdict?
ALLE's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ALLE compare to other Industrials stocks?
ALLE ranks #40 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ALLE overbought or oversold?
ALLE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ALLE pay a dividend?
Yes. ALLE paid $2.16 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.44% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 11 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-15.
Does ALLE usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ALLE beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ALLE?
Of 11 analysts covering ALLE, 5 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $178 (+18.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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