Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) fair value analysis

Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed

Market cap

$45.8B

P/E (trailing)

23x

Revenue (TTM)

$22.1B

Net margin

5.5%

EPS (TTM)

$2.44

Gross margin

27.2%

Debt / equity

0.94

Revenue growth (3-yr avg)

9.6%

Shares outstanding

824M

Derived indicators how computed

Quality grade

F →

Margin trend

Contracting

52-week position

The bottom quarter of its range

Technicals how computed

RSI (14-day)

52 · neutral

50-day average

$57.69

200-day average

$61.72

Moving-average state

50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages

Dividends how computed

Paid, last 12 months

$0.94 per share (4 payments)

Yield on last price

1.70%

Consecutive years of increases

5

Next ex-dividend date

2026-10-29

Last payment date

2026-08-10

Earnings how computed

Next earnings report

2026-10-29 (pre-market)

Last 8 quarters vs consensus

6 beat, 2 missed

Quarter by quarter

2026-06 ▲ beat (+3.6%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+11.8%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-5.6%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+17.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+2.2%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+12.1%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+12.5%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-2.5%)

Analyst consensus how computed

This is not TickrTrends' verdict.

Analyst ratings

14 buy · 11 hold · 0 sell (25 analysts)

Consensus lean

Buy-leaning

Consensus price target

$73.4

Target vs last price

+32.1%

Recent CARR news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CARR is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

• CARR Maintained by Mizuho -- Price Target Lowered to $70.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
  TickrTrends take: Mizuho's reduction of its price target for CARR to $70 comes at a time when TickrTrends' analysis indicates the stock is undervalued, suggesting there may be a disconnect between the analyst's revised expectations and current market pricing. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether this target adjustment reflects concerns specific to CARR's industrial operations or broader sector headwinds, as this could affect how the undervaluation thesis holds in coming quarters. The maintained rating combined with a lower target may indicate analyst confidence in the company's fundamentals despite near-term challenges.
• 2 Stocks Trump Bought in July Are Now Down 17% to 20%. Time to Buy? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-29)
  TickrTrends take: CARR is currently assessed as undervalued by TickrTrends despite recent market weakness that has affected various industrials stocks. For valuation-focused investors tracking this Industrials sector company, the relevant consideration is whether any recent declines represent a further compression of an already discounted valuation or reflect fundamental deterioration in the business. Monitoring the company's operational metrics and cash flow performance will be essential to determine if the undervalued assessment remains justified at lower price levels.
• CARR Initiates Coverage On by Wells Fargo -- Rating Set to Overweight (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-25)
  TickrTrends take: Wells Fargo's initiation of coverage with an Overweight rating suggests analyst confidence in CARR's prospects, which aligns with TickrTrends' Undervalued assessment and may indicate potential room for price appreciation. For valuation-focused investors, the combination of external analyst optimism and the current undervaluation signal warrants monitoring of whether the market begins to re-rate the stock toward fair value. Given CARR operates in the Industrials sector, investors should track whether this analyst backing translates into fundamental improvements in earnings or margin expansion that would justify a higher valuation multiple.

More CARR news

• Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-15)

What people are saying

Follow the CARR conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

• 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
• 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
• 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
• 2026-10-10 — # CARR Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for CARR show a decline in quality assessment this week, with the quality grade dropping from D to F. Despite this deterioration in quality metrics, the current valuation verdict remains Undervalued. The shift reflects a meaningful change in the underlying quality factors tracked by TickrTrends' analytical framework for this Industrials sector company.
• 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
• 2026-09-28 — CARR's technical positioning improved this week as its Relative Strength Index moved out of oversold territory into neutral zone, suggesting reduced downward momentum. The stock's valuation ranking within the Industrials sector also strengthened, climbing to #30 from #36 in sector discount standings. With a current undervalued verdict, these favorable technical and relative valuation shifts reflect improving conditions for the company.
• 2026-09-21 — CARR's relative strength index moved from neutral territory into oversold conditions this week, indicating that the stock has experienced significant selling pressure in the near term. The stock maintains an undervalued rating based on TickrTrends' derived indicators, suggesting that current price levels may present a potential opportunity relative to fundamental metrics. The combination of oversold technical conditions alongside an undervalued valuation verdict represents a notable shift from the previous week's assessment.
• 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.

Frequently asked questions

Is CARR stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), CARR is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is CARR's TickrTrends verdict?

CARR's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does CARR compare to other Industrials stocks?

CARR ranks #31 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.

Is CARR overbought or oversold?

CARR's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

Does CARR pay a dividend?

Yes. CARR paid $0.94 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.70% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-10-29.

When does CARR report earnings next?

CARR's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.

Does CARR usually beat earnings estimates?

Over its last 8 reported quarters CARR beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.

What do analysts say about CARR?

Of 25 analysts covering CARR, 14 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $73.4 (+32.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.

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