Deere & Company (DE) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
DE price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedDE is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $620.93
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $461.63–$709.48
- Market cap
- $167B
- From 52-week high
- -12.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 270M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #93 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Deere & Company manufactures and sells agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment, as well as related parts and services. The company operates globally, with significant presence in North America, Europe, South America, and Asia-Pacific regions.
DE currently ranks #93 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $167B
- P/E (trailing)
- 34x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $47.7B
- Net margin
- 10.2%
- EPS (TTM)
- $18.00
- Gross margin
- 37.0%
- Debt / equity
- 2.29
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -5.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 270M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 40 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $656.53
- 200-day average
- $596.86
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $6.48 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.04%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 5
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-30
- Last payment date
- 2026-11-09
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-25 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
2026-04 ▲ beat (+14.9%)
2026-01 ▲ beat (+15.2%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+2.6%)
2025-07 ▲ beat (+1.9%)
2025-04 ▲ beat (+18.1%)
2025-01 ▼ miss (-1.8%)
2024-10 ▲ beat (+15.8%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 16 buy · 8 hold · 1 sell (25 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $694
- Target vs last price
- +11.8%
What our data shows for DE
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for DE, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $461.63–$709.48.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 40.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for DE
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent DE news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for DE is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.
- AI Agents Attempt 1,200 Cyber Break-Ins, Compromise More Than 100 Sites (financefeeds.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Deere's involvement in cybersecurity vulnerabilities through AI agent testing raises operational risk considerations that valuations typically incorporate through risk premiums. Given TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment, investors should monitor whether remediation costs or potential liability exposures materialize in upcoming financial reports, as the Industrials sector has shown sensitivity to unforeseen operational expenses. The timing of these security incidents could test whether current market pricing adequately reflects the company's risk profile relative to fundamentals. - Investors Heavily Search Deere & Company (DE): Here is What You Need to Know (zacks.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Deere & Company operates in the Industrials sector where TickrTrends currently identifies the stock as overvalued based on its derived valuation metrics. The recent surge in investor search interest suggests heightened attention to the company, though elevated trading volume and attention do not necessarily indicate a disconnect with current pricing has narrowed. Valuation-focused investors monitoring DE should track whether the company's fundamental earnings growth or margin expansion accelerates enough to justify the current market valuation, or whether external factors such as agricultural commodity cycles and equipment demand trends shift the investment picture. - Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere (DE) Slide as Treasury Yields Surge. Why Valuations Matter (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Deere's recent price decline amid rising Treasury yields highlights how capital-intensive industrial manufacturers face pressure when borrowing costs increase, a factor particularly relevant given TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment. For investors monitoring valuation metrics, the combination of an overvalued rating and sector headwinds from yield movements suggests the stock may lack margin of safety at present levels. As rates remain elevated, the market's willingness to pay premium multiples for equipment manufacturers like Deere could face continued testing.
More DE news
- A Question About Corn Prices Brings Out Jim Cramer’s Conviction in Deere (DE) (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-11)
- Deere (DE) vs CNH (CNH): Is Deere’s Tech Advantage Worth Paying For? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-10)
What people are saying
Follow the DE conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for DE show a shift in the relative strength index zone from overbought to neutral this week. The stock remains classified as overvalued based on current valuation metrics within the Industrials sector.
- 2026-09-21 — DE's Relative Strength Index has moved from the neutral zone into overbought territory this week, suggesting increased upward momentum in the stock. With a current valuation verdict of overvalued, this technical shift indicates the stock has experienced significant buying pressure recently.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is DE stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), DE is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is DE's TickrTrends verdict?
DE's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does DE compare to other Industrials stocks?
DE ranks #93 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is DE overbought or oversold?
DE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does DE pay a dividend?
Yes. DE paid $6.48 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.04% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-30.
When does DE report earnings next?
DE's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-25 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does DE usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters DE beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about DE?
Of 25 analysts covering DE, 16 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $694 (+11.8% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Industrials
Head-to-head comparisons
DE vs ANPA · DE vs BBCP · DE vs BBSI · DE vs CAT · DE vs DAL