Dow Inc. (DOW) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
DOW price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedDOW is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $28.42
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- 12-month range
- $20.95–$41.87
- Market cap
- $20.5B
- From 52-week high
- -32.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 722M
- Rank in Basic Materials by discount to fair value
- #22 of 26
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Dow Inc. is a materials science company that manufactures and supplies chemical products, plastic materials, and agricultural sciences used in various industries including packaging, construction, transportation, and consumer goods. The company operates globally with manufacturing facilities and sales offices located across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other regions worldwide.
DOW currently ranks #22 of 26 Basic Materials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $20.5B
- P/E (trailing)
- 37x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $41.3B
- Net margin
- -2.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.77
- Gross margin
- 17.9%
- Debt / equity
- 0.85
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 4.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 722M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 57 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $29.59
- 200-day average
- $32.28
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.40 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 4.93%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-11-30
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-11
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+15.2%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+51.7%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+33.3%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+36.7%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-147.1%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+300.0%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-131.3%)
2024-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 5 buy · 13 hold · 1 sell (19 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $33.3
- Target vs last price
- +17.2%
What our data shows for DOW
- Our model validated 12 trailing price-to-earnings windows for DOW, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $20.95–$41.87.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 57.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for DOW
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent DOW news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for DOW is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Dow: Iran Margin Benefits Can Endure (NYSE:DOW) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: Dow Chemical's potential margin benefits from reduced Iranian competition could provide support for profitability metrics that investors monitoring valuation should track against current Basic Materials sector multiples. As a company trading at an undervalued assessment according to TickrTrends, any sustained margin improvement from geopolitical shifts would warrant observation to determine whether current pricing adequately reflects the company's earnings power. Valuation-focused investors should monitor how these operational benefits flow through to financial results and whether they narrow the gap between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates. - Dow Stock Has No Solid Promise Of Generating Value In The Future (NYSE:DOW) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-10)
TickrTrends take: DOW trades at an undervalued designation according to TickrTrends despite concerns raised about its future value generation prospects in the Basic Materials sector. For valuation-focused investors, the disconnect between the current undervalued status and skepticism about forward returns suggests monitoring whether the company's near-term fundamentals and capital allocation decisions can demonstrate tangible progress toward shareholder value creation. The valuation context indicates the market may be pricing in pessimism, leaving room for reassessment if DOW's operational performance or strategic initiatives shift the outlook. - Univar Solutions Expands Homecare and Industrial Cleaning Portfolio with Dow Partnership in North America (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-16)
TickrTrends take: Univar Solutions' expansion of its cleaning portfolio through a partnership with Dow in North America suggests the company is positioning itself to capture growing demand in homecare and industrial cleaning segments. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that DOW is undervalued, investors monitoring the Basic Materials sector should observe whether this partnership generates meaningful revenue contribution and margin expansion that could justify the valuation thesis. The distribution agreement's success in converting market opportunity into profitability will be relevant for tracking whether DOW's current valuation reflects appropriate pricing relative to its growth prospects.
More DOW news
- This Newly Public Nuclear IPO Is Already Using AI to Speed Up Reactor Design. Is It a Buy? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-30)
What people are saying
Follow the DOW conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is DOW stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), DOW is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is DOW's TickrTrends verdict?
DOW's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does DOW compare to other Basic Materials stocks?
DOW ranks #22 of 26 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is DOW overbought or oversold?
DOW's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does DOW pay a dividend?
Yes. DOW paid $1.40 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 4.93% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-11-30.
Does DOW usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters DOW beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about DOW?
Of 19 analysts covering DOW, 5 rate it a buy, 13 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $33.3 (+17.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Basic Materials
Head-to-head comparisons
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