Exelon Corporation (EXC) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
EXC price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedEXC is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $41.76
- Sector
- Utilities
- 12-month range
- $40.20–$50.29
- Market cap
- $43B
- From 52-week high
- -17.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.03B
- Rank in Utilities by discount to fair value
- #16 of 36
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Exelon Corporation is one of the largest electric and gas utility companies in the United States, providing energy services to millions of customers through its regulated utility subsidiaries. The company operates primarily in the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest regions, serving customers in Illinois, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, and other surrounding areas.
EXC currently ranks #16 of 36 Utilities stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $43B
- P/E (trailing)
- 15x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $25.3B
- Net margin
- 11.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.79
- Gross margin
- 41.0%
- Debt / equity
- 1.76
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -0.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.03B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 61 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $43.03
- 200-day average
- $45.56
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.66 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.98%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 3
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-04
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-15
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-30 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▬ met (0.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+2.2%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+7.3%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+10.3%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+5.4%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+7.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+7.9%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+6.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 5 buy · 14 hold · 2 sell (21 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $48.8
- Target vs last price
- +16.9%
What our data shows for EXC
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for EXC, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $40.20–$50.29.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 61.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for EXC
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent EXC news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for EXC is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Exelon: Grid Growth Hinges On Regulatory Recovery (NASDAQ:EXC) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Exelon's grid expansion prospects are directly tied to regulatory outcomes that will influence its earnings capacity and cash flow generation, which are core inputs to valuation models. TickrTrends currently assesses EXC as undervalued, suggesting the market may not fully be pricing in the upside potential if regulatory decisions favor the company's infrastructure investments. Utility investors should monitor regulatory developments closely, as favorable determinations could validate or challenge the undervalued assessment by materially affecting EXC's ability to recover grid modernization costs through rate mechanisms. - Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid (NASDAQ:EXC) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Exelon's positioning as a defensive utility with attractive income characteristics aligns with TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, suggesting the market may not fully reflect the stability and yield appeal that typically support utility valuations during uncertain periods. For valuation-focused investors, monitoring whether the sector's current bid translates into sustained multiple expansion for EXC will be important, as utilities often trade on predictable cash flows and dividend support rather than growth narratives. The company's ability to maintain its yield advantage relative to broader market alternatives could reinforce or challenge the undervaluation case going forward. - Rockford’s First "Community Driven Community Solar” Project Marks One Year of Bill Savings, Local Jobs and Community Investment (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-16)
TickrTrends take: EXC's community solar initiative in Rockford demonstrates the company's execution capability in renewable energy projects, which aligns with the long-term infrastructure investments typical of utilities. As TickrTrends currently assesses EXC as fairly valued, investors should monitor whether such community-focused renewable projects translate into sustained earnings growth and rate base expansion that could justify premium valuations. The focus on local job creation and community investment adds a qualitative dimension to the company's business model, though valuation investors will primarily track quantifiable metrics like customer adoption rates and project profitability.
More EXC news
- Alphabet, Exelon, and Patterson-UTI Just Paid Shareholders. Here’s What They Got. (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-16)
- Exelon (EXC) Announces Major Executive Leadership Transition and Reaffirms 2026 Guidance (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-26)
What people are saying
Follow the EXC conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for EXC shifted this week as the Relative Strength Index moved from oversold to neutral territory, suggesting reduced downward momentum in the Utilities sector stock. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued. This technical adjustment reflects a potential stabilization in price action following the oversold conditions observed in the prior week.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for EXC showed shifts this week as the 50/200-day trend state moved from mixed to downtrend, while the RSI zone declined from neutral to oversold. The stock currently carries a fairly valued verdict according to the analysis.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is EXC stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), EXC is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is EXC's TickrTrends verdict?
EXC's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does EXC compare to other Utilities stocks?
EXC ranks #16 of 36 Utilities stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is EXC overbought or oversold?
EXC's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does EXC pay a dividend?
Yes. EXC paid $1.66 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 3.98% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 3 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-04.
When does EXC report earnings next?
EXC's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-30 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does EXC usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters EXC beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about EXC?
Of 21 analysts covering EXC, 5 rate it a buy, 14 a hold and 2 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $48.8 (+16.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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