Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
MSEX price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedMSEX is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $54.59
- Sector
- Utilities
- 12-month range
- $48.59–$61.96
- Market cap
- $1.03B
- From 52-week high
- -11.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 18.8M
- Rank in Utilities by discount to fair value
- #5 of 36
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Middlesex Water Company is a water utility that provides drinking water and wastewater services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates in New Jersey and Delaware.
MSEX currently ranks #5 of 36 Utilities stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.03B
- P/E (trailing)
- 21x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $206M
- Net margin
- 23.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.59
- Gross margin
- 42.9%
- Debt / equity
- 0.84
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 18.8M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 46 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $56.14
- 200-day average
- $53.98
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.44 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.64%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 21
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-17
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-01
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-30
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 3 beat, 5 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+12.9%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-3.4%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-1.1%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-9.4%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-10.4%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-7.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+36.1%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+17.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 1 buy · 1 hold · 0 sell (2 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $61
- Target vs last price
- +11.7%
What our data shows for MSEX
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MSEX, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $48.59–$61.96.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 46.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MSEX
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent MSEX news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MSEX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Middlesex Water Company Names Rebecca Stenholm Vice President of Communications and Corporate Affairs (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: The appointment of Rebecca Stenholm as Vice President of Communications and Corporate Affairs represents a leadership development within Middlesex Water Company's organizational structure. For valuation-focused investors tracking this Utilities sector company, such executive staffing decisions can signal management's confidence in operational direction and may influence how the company communicates future business developments to stakeholders. Given TickrTrends' current Undervalued assessment of MSEX, monitoring how this communications leadership translates the company's strategic initiatives into market perception will be relevant to tracking whether current valuation metrics may shift. - Middlesex Water: Slow And Steady Growth At A Discount (NASDAQ:MSEX) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Middlesex Water trades at an undervalued level according to TickrTrends' current assessment, which aligns with the company's characterization as a steady growth operator in the Utilities sector. For valuation-focused investors, the key consideration is whether the company's measured growth trajectory can sustain its current discount to intrinsic value or if market conditions will narrow the valuation gap. Monitoring Middlesex Water's earnings consistency and capital deployment decisions will be important to determining whether the undervalued status represents a durable opportunity or a temporary pricing anomaly. - Tidewater Utilities Announces Second Customer Bill Credit Using PFAS Litigation Proceeds (manilatimes.net, 2026-08-31)
TickrTrends take: Tidewater Utilities' use of PFAS litigation proceeds to credit customer bills represents a potential reduction in future revenue that investors monitoring MSEX should consider when evaluating whether the undervalued designation remains justified. This allocation of litigation winnings directly to customers rather than balance sheet strengthening may impact earnings trajectories differently than investors initially modeled. Valuation-focused readers should track whether additional customer credits are planned and how management intends to offset any resulting revenue pressures through operational efficiency or rate adjustments.
What people are saying
Follow the MSEX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for MSEX showed a shift this week as the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral territory. The current valuation verdict remains undervalued. This change suggests a moderation in the momentum dynamics for the utilities sector.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — MSEX moved into oversold territory this week as its RSI zone shifted from neutral to oversold. The utilities sector stock remains trading at undervalued levels according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. This combination of oversold momentum readings and undervaluation metrics suggests the valuation picture has become more pronounced for the sector this week.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is MSEX stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), MSEX is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MSEX's TickrTrends verdict?
MSEX's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MSEX compare to other Utilities stocks?
MSEX ranks #5 of 36 Utilities stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is MSEX overbought or oversold?
MSEX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does MSEX pay a dividend?
Yes. MSEX paid $1.44 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.64% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 21 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-17.
When does MSEX report earnings next?
MSEX's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-30, per the published earnings calendar.
Does MSEX usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters MSEX beat the consensus estimate 3 times and missed 5 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about MSEX?
Of 2 analysts covering MSEX, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $61 (+11.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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