Ford Motor Company (F) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07
Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, and sells automobiles and automotive parts globally. The company operates production facilities and sales operations across North America, Europe, Asia, and other international markets.
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedBased on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, F is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
F currently ranks #77 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.
- Last price
- $14.62
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $11.68–$16.63
Derived indicators
Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.
- Quality grade
- F
- Leverage
- High
- Margin trend
- Stable
- Revenue growth
- Modest
- RSI zone
- Neutral
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
What our data shows for F
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for F, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $11.68–$16.63.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 60.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for F
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
How Forward Fair Value works
TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.
Recent F news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for F is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Ford Motor Company (F) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know (zacks.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: Ford Motor Company's underperformance relative to the broader market occurs within a context where TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued. For investors focused on valuation metrics, this divergence between F's decline and overall market movement warrants attention to whether the sell-off is correcting excess valuation or reflects sector-specific pressures within the Consumer Cyclical space. Monitoring how Ford's fundamentals align with its current valuation multiples will be important for understanding whether the stock's weakness represents a revaluation to fair value or an opportunity emerging at lower prices. - Ford (F)’s Third Recall in a Week Hits Nearly 149,000 Mustangs (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-07)
TickrTrends take: Ford's latest recall affecting nearly 149000 Mustangs represents the third safety action within seven days, which adds operational and reputational pressure to a manufacturer already facing challenging market conditions. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that F is overvalued, investors should monitor whether recall-related costs and potential warranty expenses begin to compress margins and weigh on upcoming earnings reports. A pattern of successive recalls in the Consumer Cyclical sector often pressures valuations further, making the timing of this announcement particularly relevant to anyone reassessing the company's current price relative to fundamentals. - Where Will Ford Be in 5 Years? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-06)
TickrTrends take: Ford operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which is particularly sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns that can shift significantly over a five-year horizon. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that Ford is overvalued, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the company can justify its current price through earnings growth, cost management, or margin expansion over the coming years. Any material changes in Ford's competitive position, capital allocation decisions, or industry dynamics could either validate or challenge the current overvaluation verdict.
What people are saying
Follow the F conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-09-07 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for F showed a shift in valuation assessment this week. The DCF cross-check band moved from a fairly valued position to an undervalued position, indicating that fundamental analysis models now suggest the stock may trade below intrinsic value. The current overall valuation verdict remains overvalued, reflecting a divergence between this technical metric and broader valuation assessments.
- 2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for F show a shift in valuation assessment this week. The DCF cross-check band moved from undervalued to fairly valued, indicating a change in the fundamental valuation positioning. Despite this improvement in the DCF metric, the current overall valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.
Frequently asked questions
Is F stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), F is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is F's TickrTrends verdict?
F's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does F compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
F ranks #77 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.
Is F overbought or oversold?
F's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.