Ford Motor Company (F) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
F price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedF is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $12.17
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $11.21–$17.44
- Market cap
- $47.7B
- From 52-week high
- -30.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 3.92B
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #82 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, and sells automobiles and automotive parts globally. The company operates production facilities and sales operations across North America, Europe, Asia, and other international markets.
F currently ranks #82 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. Its Overvalued verdict is new as of this week's run.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $47.7B
- P/E (trailing)
- 7x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $188B
- Net margin
- -3.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.66
- Gross margin
- 12.6%
- Debt / equity
- 4.57
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 3.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 3.92B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 37 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $13.32
- 200-day average
- $13.43
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.60 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 4.93%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-11
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-01
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-28 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+27.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+247.4%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-31.6%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+25.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+12.1%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+600.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+21.9%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+4.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 8 buy · 12 hold · 0 sell (20 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $15.6
- Target vs last price
- +28.2%
What our data shows for F
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for F, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $11.21–$17.44.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 37.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for F
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent F news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for F is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Callaway Golf (CALY) Shines in Consumer Discretionary as Q3 Earnings Roll In (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Ford Motor Company operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector alongside other discretionary spending-dependent businesses like Callaway Golf, which recently reported Q3 earnings results. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that F is overvalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether Ford's financial performance can justify its current pricing relative to peers in the consumer discretionary space. Strong earnings reports from comparable companies in this sector may highlight whether Ford's valuation premium is warranted by similar operational strength. - Ford Recalls 102,159 Trucks Over Faulty Speedometers — Check Your Model Before Driving (cleverdude.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Ford's recall of over 102,000 trucks due to faulty speedometers represents a safety issue that could carry financial implications through potential warranty costs and reputational impact. Given that TickrTrends currently rates F as overvalued, investors should monitor whether this recall and any associated expenses influence upcoming earnings reports and guidance. As a consumer cyclical company, Ford's valuation already reflects sensitivity to operational efficiency and consumer confidence, making execution on quality control increasingly important to justify current valuations. - Ford Motor (F) Recalls 102,159 Trucks Over Instrument Cluster Defect (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Ford announced a recall affecting 102,159 trucks due to an instrument cluster defect, which represents a manageable portion of the company's annual production volumes. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that F is overvalued, investors monitoring the stock should observe whether this recall generates unexpected warranty costs or impacts consumer sentiment in the competitive truck market, where Ford derives significant revenue. As a Consumer Cyclical company, Ford's valuation multiples may face pressure if recalls signal quality concerns that affect demand during economic uncertainty.
More F news
- PBOC Signals Greater Financial Opening as Global Rate Uncertainty Persists (thestockmarketwatch.com, 2026-10-16)
- Ford Motor Company (F) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It (zacks.com, 2026-10-14)
- F Maintained by JP Morgan -- Price Target Lowered to $16.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Rivian Automotive (RIVN) vs. TSLA and F: Can Improving Margins and Its R2 Midsize SUV Unlock Profitable Growth? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-12)
- Ford's F-150 Lightning Surges in U.S. Demand After Discontinuation (Ticker: F) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
What people are saying
Follow the F conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for F in the Consumer Cyclical sector shifted this week as the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral territory, while the valuation verdict changed from Fairly valued to Overvalued. These changes suggest a shift in momentum dynamics alongside a reassessment of the stock's pricing relative to fundamentals.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for F show that the RSI zone moved from neutral to oversold this week, while the valuation verdict shifted from overvalued to fairly valued. These changes suggest a decrease in momentum alongside an adjustment in the stock's price relative to its fundamental metrics. F remains in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for F show that the Consumer Cyclical sector's discount rank improved from #77 to #72 this week, indicating the sector has moved closer to being valued at a relative premium compared to its historical range. Despite this improvement in ranking, F remains classified as overvalued according to the current valuation verdict.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is F stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), F is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is F's TickrTrends verdict?
F's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does F compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
F ranks #82 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is F overbought or oversold?
F's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does F pay a dividend?
Yes. F paid $0.60 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 4.93% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-11.
When does F report earnings next?
F's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-28 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does F usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters F beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about F?
Of 20 analysts covering F, 8 rate it a buy, 12 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $15.6 (+28.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.