FedEx Corporation (FDX) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
FDX price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedFDX is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $291.71
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $194.32–$339.35
- Market cap
- $69B
- From 52-week high
- -14.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 237M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #66 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
FedEx Corporation operates one of the world's largest courier and logistics networks, providing overnight shipping, ground delivery, freight services, and supply chain solutions to businesses and consumers. The company maintains operations across more than 220 countries and territories, with a significant presence in North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide.
FDX currently ranks #66 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $69B
- P/E (trailing)
- 14x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $94.7B
- Net margin
- 4.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $20.21
- Gross margin
- 22.7%
- Debt / equity
- 1.36
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 5.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 237M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 41 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $309.38
- 200-day average
- $301.91
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $5.34 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.83%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 5
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-14
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-01
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-28 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-05 ▲ beat (+6.8%)
2026-02 ▲ beat (+25.6%)
2025-11 ▲ beat (+17.3%)
2025-08 ▲ beat (+6.1%)
2025-05 ▲ beat (+4.7%)
2025-02 ▼ miss (-2.6%)
2024-11 ▲ beat (+2.0%)
2024-08 ▼ miss (-24.5%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 20 buy · 7 hold · 1 sell (28 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $356
- Target vs last price
- +22.0%
What our data shows for FDX
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for FDX, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $194.32–$339.35.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 41.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for FDX
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent FDX news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for FDX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- FedEx (FDX) Is Leaner After Its Freight Spin, but Can Earnings Catch Up? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: FedEx's separation of its freight division represents a structural change that could alter the company's earnings profile and capital efficiency going forward. As an Industrial sector company currently assessed as fairly valued by TickrTrends, investors should monitor whether the leaner operating structure translates into margin expansion and return on capital improvements that justify the current valuation. The key question for valuation-focused investors is whether earnings growth from the streamlined operations can sustain or potentially improve the fairly valued assessment in coming quarters. - FedEx Is Better After The Freight Spin, But Not Cheap Enough Yet (NYSE:FDX) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: FedEx's separation of its freight operations represents a structural transformation that improves operational clarity and may enhance long-term efficiency, yet the market has priced this benefit into current valuations. TickrTrends' assessment of fair valuation suggests that while the company's fundamentals have strengthened, investors are not receiving a discount for the repositioned business model at present levels. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether margin expansion or market share gains from the spin-off materialize sufficiently to justify premium valuations relative to industrial peers. - FedEx (FDX) Partners with Stripe to Enhance SMB Financing Accessibility (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
TickrTrends take: FedEx's partnership with Stripe to improve financing access for small and medium-sized businesses expands the company's service ecosystem beyond traditional shipping and logistics. Given that FDX is currently assessed as fairly valued by TickrTrends, investors should monitor whether this fintech collaboration meaningfully contributes to revenue diversification or customer retention in the Industrials sector, as such outcomes could influence the valuation multiple over time. The actual financial impact of the partnership on FedEx's core logistics operations and margins will be key data points for tracking whether the fairly valued assessment shifts.
More FDX news
- FDXF Maintains Rating by JP Morgan -- Price Target Lowered to $149 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
- FedEx (FDX) vs UPS (UPS): Which is a Better Stock to Buy? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-04)
What people are saying
Follow the FDX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — FDX's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from number 64 to number 75 among industrials companies. The stock maintains a fairly valued assessment according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-10-10 — FDX moved out of oversold territory this week, with its RSI zone shifting to neutral as trading activity normalized. The stock's sector discount ranking declined from 68 to 74, indicating it is now trading at a larger discount relative to other industrials stocks. At current levels, FDX remains fairly valued according to TickrTrends derived indicators.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for FDX showed notable shifts this week. The DCF cross-check band moved from showing no clear verdict to indicating an overvalued position, while the RSI zone declined from neutral territory into oversold conditions. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is FDX stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), FDX is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is FDX's TickrTrends verdict?
FDX's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does FDX compare to other Industrials stocks?
FDX ranks #66 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is FDX overbought or oversold?
FDX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does FDX pay a dividend?
Yes. FDX paid $5.34 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.83% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-14.
When does FDX report earnings next?
FDX's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-28 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does FDX usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters FDX beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about FDX?
Of 28 analysts covering FDX, 20 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $356 (+22.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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