Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
GOOG price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedGOOG is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $347.86
- Sector
- Communication Services
- 12-month range
- $260.51–$399.04
- Market cap
- $4.12T
- From 52-week high
- -12.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 11.8B
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company that owns Google and various other technology subsidiaries, providing internet search, advertising, cloud computing, and hardware products to users worldwide. The company operates globally with significant presence in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific regions.
It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $4.12T
- P/E (trailing)
- 17x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $446B
- Net margin
- 54.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $19.91
- Gross margin
- 61.6%
- Debt / equity
- 0.18
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 18.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 11.8B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 42 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $341.45
- 200-day average
- $339.13
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.86 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.25%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-04
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-14
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-28 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+216.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+94.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+7.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+23.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+5.5%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+39.8%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+0.9%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+14.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 57 buy · 5 hold · 0 sell (62 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $421
- Target vs last price
- +21.0%
What our data shows for GOOG
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for GOOG, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $260.51–$399.04.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 42.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for GOOG
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent GOOG news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for GOOG is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- U.S. Senators Question Google (GOOG) on AI Impact in Education Amid Share Dip (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Google operates in the Communication Services sector and is currently viewed as fairly valued according to TickrTrends analysis. The company faces regulatory scrutiny regarding AI's role in education, which represents a potential area where policy developments could affect its business operations and market positioning. For valuation-focused investors, the intersection of regulatory attention and share price movements warrants monitoring to assess whether the fair valuation assessment remains appropriate as the regulatory landscape evolves. - Alphabet Q3 Preview: I’m Not Adding Before Q3 (Rating Downgrade) (NASDAQ:GOOG) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Alphabet operates in the Communication Services sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued by TickrTrends, meaning the stock price aligns with its fundamental metrics. Given the rating downgrade reflected in the headline, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the market reprices GOOG in response to Q3 results or whether the fair value assessment adjusts based on updated financial performance. The combination of fair valuation with a cautious sentiment suggests the stock may lack margin of safety for new positions until either fundamentals improve or valuation becomes more attractive. - Google Quantum AI Breakthrough Highlights Alphabet's Innovation Edge (GOOG) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Google's quantum computing advancement demonstrates Alphabet's continued investment in transformative technologies, which supports the company's positioning within the highly competitive Communication Services sector. For valuation-focused investors, the key consideration is whether such breakthroughs translate into measurable revenue growth and margin expansion over the medium term, rather than remaining as research accomplishments. Given the Fairly valued assessment, monitoring how quantum AI developments contribute to future earnings power and competitive advantages will be important for determining whether the valuation warrants adjustment.
More GOOG news
- Google’s Orbital TPU Test: Why SpaceX Wins No Matter Which Hyperscaler Gets There First (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-10)
- Alphabet Stock: A ‘Strong Buy’ Due To Its AI Compute Scale (NASDAQ:GOOG) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-09)
- Google Reports Domain Hijacking Attacks on Country-Code Domains, Ticker GOOG (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
What people are saying
Follow the GOOG conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for GOOG shifted this week, with the stock's valuation verdict improving from Overvalued to Fairly valued. This change reflects a reassessment of the Communication Services company's current market positioning relative to its fundamental metrics.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for GOOG show that the quality grade improved from B to A this week. The stock remains at a fairly valued assessment despite the upgrade in quality metrics. This improvement in the quality grade reflects positive changes in the company's underlying fundamentals as measured by TickrTrends' analytical framework.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for GOOG show that the 50/200-day trend state shifted from mixed to uptrend this week, reflecting improved near-term momentum. Simultaneously, the valuation verdict moved from fairly valued to overvalued, indicating that while price momentum has strengthened, the stock's current valuation metrics no longer support fair value positioning.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is GOOG stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), GOOG is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is GOOG's TickrTrends verdict?
GOOG's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
Is GOOG overbought or oversold?
GOOG's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does GOOG pay a dividend?
Yes. GOOG paid $0.86 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.25% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-04.
When does GOOG report earnings next?
GOOG's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-28 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does GOOG usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters GOOG beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about GOOG?
Of 62 analysts covering GOOG, 57 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $421 (+21.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
Other share classes
GOOG is one share class of Alphabet Inc., which also trades as GOOGL. Our ranked lists show the company once, ranked under GOOGL, its most liquid class.