Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
GOOGL price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedGOOGL is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $351.66
- Sector
- Communication Services
- 12-month range
- $259.92–$402.62
- Market cap
- $4.17T
- From 52-week high
- -12.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 11.8B
- Rank in Communication Services by discount to fair value
- #19 of 29
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Alphabet Inc. is a multinational technology holding company that operates Google, its dominant subsidiary offering search, advertising, cloud computing, and consumer hardware products, along with other ventures in autonomous vehicles, artificial intelligence, and life sciences. The company operates globally with significant presence in North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide.
GOOGL currently ranks #19 of 29 Communication Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $4.17T
- P/E (trailing)
- 18x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $446B
- Net margin
- 54.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $19.91
- Gross margin
- 61.6%
- Debt / equity
- 0.18
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 18.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 11.8B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 43 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $344.58
- 200-day average
- $340.90
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.86 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.24%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-04
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-14
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-28 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+216.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+102.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+7.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+23.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+5.5%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+39.8%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+0.9%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+14.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 57 buy · 5 hold · 0 sell (62 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $431
- Target vs last price
- +22.6%
What our data shows for GOOGL
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for GOOGL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $259.92–$402.62.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 43.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for GOOGL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent GOOGL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for GOOGL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Alphabet's AI Competition Insights Amid Regulatory Scrutiny (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Alphabet faces intensifying competitive pressures in artificial intelligence at a time when regulatory scrutiny may constrain its operational flexibility and capital deployment strategies. With TickrTrends currently assessing GOOGL as overvalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's AI investments generate sufficient returns to justify its current market price, particularly as competitive dynamics in the Communication Services sector evolve. The combination of elevated valuation multiples and heightened regulatory risk creates a situation where execution on AI initiatives becomes critical to supporting the stock's present valuation levels. - CNBC Daily Open: Tech rebounds in the U.S., but Asia isn’t buying it yet (cnbc.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Google operates in the Communication Services sector, where TickrTrends currently assesses it as overvalued. The recent tech rebound in U.S. markets noted in this report presents a valuation consideration, as broad sector strength can sometimes mask individual company fundamentals that may not support current pricing levels. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether Google's stock price movements align with earnings growth and competitive positioning, particularly given the divergence in market sentiment between U.S. and Asian markets. - Waymo Expands Fleet to 20,000 Vehicles with $5 Billion Funding (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Waymo's expansion to 20,000 vehicles represents a significant capital deployment that will increase Alphabet's autonomous driving costs and timelines before the division reaches profitability, a factor relevant to GOOGL's current overvalued assessment. With 5 billion dollars committed to fleet growth, investors should monitor whether this investment generates measurable revenue contributions or remains a long-term cash drain on the parent company's financial performance. The capital intensity of this autonomous vehicle expansion underscores why valuation metrics may not yet justify GOOGL's current market price relative to its near-term earnings potential in the Communication Services sector.
More GOOGL news
- GOOGL Fairly Valued by DCF at $334 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- Google Makes Major Quantum Computing Breakthrough -- Hits 99.99% Accuracy (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- What State Street Comm Services SPDR (XLC) Bought: Meta Leads on Thursday (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- GOOGL SHAREHOLDER ACTION REMINDER: Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Reminds Alphabet Investors of Securities Class Action Lawsuit Deadline on November 30, 2026 (markets.businessinsider.com, 2026-10-17)
- Waymo Is Taking Robotaxis Into Canada (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- Evercore ISI Reaffirms Outperform on Alphabet (GOOG) with $450 Price Target Amid AI Chip Growth (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- Michael Dell loses over $20 billion in a single day as Dell stock slumps 11%; loses 4th-richest person status (livemint.com, 2026-10-16)
- Fed Chair Warsh Signals Data-Dependent Path, Highlights AI as “Most Consequential” Economic Shift (thestockmarketwatch.com, 2026-10-16)
- ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. Buys Rivernorth Opportunities Fund Inc (RIV) -- Shares Look 65% Undervalued on GF Value (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- Jio Platforms IPO Set to Raise $3.2B, Meta Platforms (META) Faces Currency-Adjusted Return Challenges (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- Google DeepMind and Google Cloud Boost European Research with AI Access, Impacting Alphabet (GOOG) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC Trims Wintergreen Acquisition Corp (WTG) Stake by 68.08% (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC Slashes Newbury Street II Acquisition Corp (NTWO) Stake by 98.60% (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
What people are saying
Follow the GOOGL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for GOOGL showed improvement this week, with the quality grade advancing from B to A. Despite this upgrade in the company's quality metrics, GOOGL remains classified as overvalued according to the current valuation verdict.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for GOOGL shifted this week as the 50/200-day trend state moved from mixed to uptrend, while the valuation verdict changed from fairly valued to overvalued. The stock now shows positive momentum in its intermediate-term trend despite a deterioration in its valuation metrics relative to the Communication Services sector.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is GOOGL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), GOOGL is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is GOOGL's TickrTrends verdict?
GOOGL's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does GOOGL compare to other Communication Services stocks?
GOOGL ranks #19 of 29 Communication Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is GOOGL overbought or oversold?
GOOGL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does GOOGL pay a dividend?
Yes. GOOGL paid $0.86 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.24% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-04.
When does GOOGL report earnings next?
GOOGL's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-28 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does GOOGL usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters GOOGL beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about GOOGL?
Of 62 analysts covering GOOGL, 57 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $431 (+22.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
Other share classes
Also trades as GOOG, another share class of Alphabet Inc.. Our ranked lists show the company once, under GOOGL, its most liquid class.
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