The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
HD price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedHD is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $290.74
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $281.15–$391.05
- Market cap
- $290B
- From 52-week high
- -25.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 998M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #34 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retailer that sells building materials, tools, appliances, and other products for home renovation and construction projects. The company operates stores across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
HD currently ranks #34 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 7 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $290B
- P/E (trailing)
- 20x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $169B
- Net margin
- 8.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $14.81
- Gross margin
- 33.7%
- Debt / equity
- 3.77
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 9.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 998M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 59 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $313.18
- 200-day average
- $336.29
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $9.29 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.20%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 16
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-03
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-17
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-17 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+4.5%)
2026-04 ▲ beat (+0.6%)
2026-01 ▲ beat (+7.9%)
2025-10 ▼ miss (-2.3%)
2025-07 ▼ miss (-0.2%)
2025-04 ▼ miss (-0.8%)
2025-01 ▼ miss (-0.7%)
2024-10 ▲ beat (+0.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 21 buy · 15 hold · 0 sell (36 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $380
- Target vs last price
- +30.7%
What our data shows for HD
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HD, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $281.15–$391.05.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 59.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HD
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent HD news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HD is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Here is What to Know Beyond Why The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) is a Trending Stock (zacks.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: The Home Depot is receiving attention as a trending stock, which typically indicates increased investor interest and trading activity that may or may not align with fundamental value. Given TickrTrends' current assessment of HD as undervalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the trending status reflects a genuine reappraisal of the company's intrinsic worth or represents temporary momentum in a Consumer Cyclical stock. For valuation-conscious observers, the key consideration is whether increased attention to HD will drive the stock price toward levels that better reflect its underlying fundamentals. - HD DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $228 vs Price $310 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Home Depot's current market price of 310 dollars stands substantially above the intrinsic value of 228 dollars derived from discounted cash flow analysis, which contrasts with TickrTrends' undervalued assessment. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the market will eventually reprice toward the DCF-derived figure or whether operational performance and future cash flow expectations might justify the current premium. Given HD's position in the Consumer Cyclical sector, tracking earnings revisions and consumer spending trends will be critical to understanding which valuation perspective may prove more durable. - BCRF Launches $100 Million Venture Program for Breast Cancer: NYSE Content Update (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: The Home Depot's involvement in the Breast Cancer Research Foundation's new venture program represents a corporate commitment that may resonate with consumer-focused investors monitoring the company's brand positioning and stakeholder engagement. As a Consumer Cyclical retailer currently valued as undervalued by TickrTrends, investors should track whether such initiatives influence consumer perception and loyalty metrics in coming quarters. For valuation-focused readers, the key consideration is whether enhanced corporate reputation translates into measurable competitive advantages or margin pressure in a sector sensitive to consumer discretionary spending patterns.
More HD news
- Is HD Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $228 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Is Trending Stock The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) a Buy Now? (zacks.com, 2026-10-09)
- Home Depot: A Sleeping Giant Waiting On Mortgage Rates (NYSE:HD) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-09)
What people are saying
Follow the HD conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — HD's relative strength index moved from oversold territory into neutral range this week, suggesting reduced downward momentum in the Consumer Cyclical sector stock. With the current valuation verdict remaining at undervalued, the stock's technical positioning has shifted toward a more balanced state.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — # HD (Home Depot) - TickrTrends Derived Indicators TickrTrends' valuation assessment for HD shifted this week from Fairly valued to Undervalued. The stock's derived indicators suggest improved value relative to its current market price compared to the prior week's analysis.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is HD stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), HD is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is HD's TickrTrends verdict?
HD's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does HD compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
HD ranks #34 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is HD overbought or oversold?
HD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does HD pay a dividend?
Yes. HD paid $9.29 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 3.20% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 16 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-03.
When does HD report earnings next?
HD's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-17 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does HD usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters HD beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about HD?
Of 36 analysts covering HD, 21 rate it a buy, 15 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $380 (+30.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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