The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retailer that sells building materials, tools, appliances, and other products for home renovation and construction projects. The company operates stores across the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, HD is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

HD currently ranks #44 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $321.05
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $308.38–$379.59

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for HD

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HD, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $308.38–$379.59.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 33.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HD
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent HD news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HD is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

3 Unstoppable Dow Stocks to Buy in September (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-05)
TickrTrends take: The Home Depot is identified among Dow stocks viewed as having strong fundamentals heading into September. Given that TickrTrends currently rates HD as fairly valued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether upcoming economic data or earnings reports might shift the assessment, particularly given the Consumer Cyclical sector's sensitivity to consumer spending trends. For valuation-conscious investors, any material changes in comparable company multiples or HD's own financial performance would be the key catalysts to watch relative to its current fair value designation.

What people are saying

Follow the HD conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for HD showed a shift in valuation assessment this week. The DCF cross-check band moved from showing no clear verdict to indicating the stock is overvalued, representing a change from the previous week's reading. HD remains classified within the Consumer Cyclical sector and currently carries a fairly valued overall verdict.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is HD stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), HD is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is HD's TickrTrends verdict?

HD's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does HD compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

HD ranks #44 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is HD overbought or oversold?

HD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

HD vs ABNB · HD vs DASH · HD vs DRI · HD vs EXPE · HD vs HAS