Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Heartland Express, Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that operates a fleet of trucks to provide trucking services across North America. The company specializes in regional and long-haul freight transportation for various industries throughout the United States.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, HTLD is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

HTLD currently ranks #98 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $12.25
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $7.67–$15.50

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for HTLD

Our model validated 7 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HTLD, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $7.67–$15.50.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 50.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HTLD
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent HTLD news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HTLD is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Heartland Express: The Turnaround Is Real, But Not Cheap (NASDAQ:HTLD) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-18)
TickrTrends take: Heartland Express operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as overvalued according to TickrTrends metrics. The headline suggests operational improvements are underway at the company, yet this turnaround narrative may already be reflected in the current stock price. Investors focusing on valuation should monitor whether HTLD's operational progress can justify its current valuation multiples or whether a price correction might better align the stock with its fundamentals.
Gains from equipment sales save Heartland’s Q2 (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-07-31)
TickrTrends take: Heartland's Q2 results benefited from equipment sales gains, which provided a boost to earnings in the period. Given that TickrTrends currently derives an Overvalued verdict for HTLD, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether these equipment sales represent a sustainable revenue stream or a one-time benefit that masks underlying operational trends in the Industrials sector. The extent to which recurring business performance can justify the current valuation level will be important to track in future quarters.

What people are saying

Follow the HTLD conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is HTLD stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), HTLD is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is HTLD's TickrTrends verdict?

HTLD's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does HTLD compare to other Industrials stocks?

HTLD ranks #98 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is HTLD overbought or oversold?

HTLD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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