Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
HWM price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedHWM is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $225.26
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $190.98–$292.65
- Market cap
- $89.8B
- From 52-week high
- -23.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 399M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #69 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. manufactures engineered solutions and advanced materials for aerospace and industrial gas turbine applications, including casting products, fasteners, and thermal management systems. The company operates globally with manufacturing and service facilities across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific regions.
HWM currently ranks #69 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 4 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $89.8B
- P/E (trailing)
- 50x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $9.12B
- Net margin
- 20.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $4.55
- Gross margin
- 37.3%
- Debt / equity
- 0.79
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 17.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 399M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 47 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $245.71
- 200-day average
- $249.39
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.50 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.22%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 5
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-11-06
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-25
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+8.1%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+10.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+8.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+4.4%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+4.6%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+10.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+2.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+9.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 20 buy · 3 hold · 0 sell (23 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $325
- Target vs last price
- +44.3%
What our data shows for HWM
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HWM, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $190.98–$292.65.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 47.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HWM
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent HWM news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HWM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) Faces a Critical Test as Growth Expectations Rise (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Howmet Aerospace operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued by TickrTrends, suggesting the market price already reflects expected performance levels. As growth expectations rise according to recent developments, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the company can deliver earnings growth sufficient to justify any premium to its current fair value assessment. If HWM accelerates growth beyond what is priced into the fairly valued rating, the stock could move toward undervaluation, but failure to meet elevated expectations could present downside risk. - Morgan Stanley Names Howmet (HWM) Top Pick in Commercial Aerospace Sector (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Morgan Stanley's recognition of Howmet as a top pick in commercial aerospace reflects analyst confidence in the company's market position within a sector that influences industrial demand. Given TickrTrends' assessment that HWM is currently fairly valued, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the stock price adjusts to reflect this analyst endorsement or remains stable. A fairly valued rating suggests limited margin of safety at present levels, so tracking aerospace industry activity and HWM's order flow would be important for identifying potential valuation shifts. - Howmet Aerospace: A Better Growth Mix Still Needs A Better Entry Point (NYSE:HWM) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Howmet Aerospace operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued according to TickrTrends analysis. The company's growth profile appears to be improving based on recent commentary, though this positive shift in fundamentals has not yet resulted in a compelling valuation discount for new investors. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether HWM's improving business mix translates into price adjustments that would create more attractive entry points relative to its growth prospects.
More HWM news
- Howmet Aerospace: Strong Q2, But The Valuation Is Too Rich (NYSE:HWM) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-12)
- HWM Maintained by Wells Fargo -- Price Target Lowered to $255 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
What people are saying
Follow the HWM conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for HWM showed movement this week, with the RSI zone shifting from oversold to neutral territory. The stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict. This change in momentum indicators reflects a shift in the technical positioning of the Industrials sector company.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is HWM stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), HWM is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is HWM's TickrTrends verdict?
HWM's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does HWM compare to other Industrials stocks?
HWM ranks #69 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is HWM overbought or oversold?
HWM's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does HWM pay a dividend?
Yes. HWM paid $0.50 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.22% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-11-06.
When does HWM report earnings next?
HWM's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does HWM usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters HWM beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about HWM?
Of 23 analysts covering HWM, 20 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $325 (+44.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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