Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Howmet Aerospace Inc. manufactures engineered solutions and advanced materials for aerospace and industrial gas turbine applications, including casting products, fasteners, and thermal management systems. The company operates globally with manufacturing and service facilities across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific regions.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, HWM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

HWM currently ranks #89 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $259.27
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $198.74–$286.20

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: A
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Strong
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for HWM

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HWM, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $198.74–$286.20.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 37.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HWM
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent HWM news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HWM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Howmet Aerospace: The SpaceX Turbine Scare Is A Buying Opportunity (NYSE:HWM) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Howmet Aerospace operates in the Industrials sector, where TickrTrends currently derives an Overvalued verdict on the stock. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether concerns about aerospace supply chain exposure resolve into sustainable margin improvements that might justify current pricing, or whether recent market anxiety about SpaceX-related demand represents a genuine catalyst for multiple compression. The gap between market pessimism and underlying business fundamentals will be critical to watch as the company reports upcoming results.
HWM Looks 55.7% Overvalued on GF Value™ Amid Strong Growth Prospects (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: HWM is trading at levels that multiple valuation frameworks consider elevated, with the GF Value assessment indicating significant overvaluation relative to fundamentals. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the tension between the company's growth prospects and its current pricing suggests monitoring whether future earnings expansion can justify present valuations or whether the Industrials sector positioning affects competitive dynamics. The overvalued designation from TickrTrends aligns with the GF Value finding, indicating that valuation compression or accelerated earnings growth would be key factors to track for potential shifts in the assessment.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — HWM's momentum indicator dropped from a B rating to none this week, signaling a weakening in price movement strength. With the stock currently trading at an overvalued level, the loss of momentum represents a notable shift in the company's technical positioning within the Industrials sector.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is HWM stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), HWM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is HWM's TickrTrends verdict?

HWM's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does HWM compare to other Industrials stocks?

HWM ranks #89 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is HWM overbought or oversold?

HWM's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

HWM vs BLBD · HWM vs BLDR · HWM vs CMI · HWM vs CSX · HWM vs JCI