Lennar Corporation (LEN) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19

LEN price how computed

Last close $77.08 -$0.61 (-0.79%) since 2026-10-15

1M +0.85%3M -5.82%6M -18.10%1Y -37.27%

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

LEN is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.

Last price: $76.69
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $73.53–$133.13
Market cap: $18.3B
From 52-week high: -42.4%
Shares outstanding: 239M
Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value: #84 of 85

Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.

Lennar Corporation is a homebuilder that designs, constructs, and sells single-family homes and multi-family residential properties. The company operates throughout the United States, with a significant presence across numerous states including Florida, California, Texas, and Arizona.

LEN currently ranks #84 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.

Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed

Market cap: $18.3B
P/E (trailing): 12x
Revenue (TTM): $32B
Net margin: 4.1%
EPS (TTM): $6.22
Debt / equity: 0.00
Revenue growth (3-yr avg): -8.9%
Shares outstanding: 239M

Derived indicators how computed

Quality grade: F
Margin trend: Contracting
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range

Technicals how computed

RSI (14-day): 48 · neutral
50-day average: $81.86
200-day average: $92.69
Moving-average state: 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages

Dividends how computed

Paid, last 12 months: $2.00 per share (4 payments)
Yield on last price: 2.61%
Consecutive years of increases: 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
Last ex-dividend date: 2026-10-07
Last payment date: 2026-10-22

Earnings how computed

Last 8 quarters vs consensus: 3 beat, 5 missed
Quarter by quarter: 2026-08 ▲ beat (+52.7%)
2026-05 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
2026-02 ▼ miss (-7.4%)
2025-11 ▼ miss (-6.9%)
2025-08 ▼ miss (-4.3%)
2025-05 ▼ miss (-2.1%)
2025-02 ▲ beat (+29.3%)
2024-11 ▼ miss (-2.2%)

Analyst consensus how computed

This is not TickrTrends' verdict.

Analyst ratings: 2 buy · 9 hold · 8 sell (19 analysts)
Consensus lean: Hold-leaning
Consensus price target: $77.9
Target vs last price: +1.6%

What our data shows for LEN

Our model validated 15 trailing price-to-earnings windows for LEN, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $73.53–$133.13.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 48.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for LEN
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.

Recent LEN news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for LEN is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

Lennar Corporation (LEN) Completes $600 Million Senior Notes Offering (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Lennar Corporation completed a $600 million senior notes offering, adding to its debt capital structure during a period when TickrTrends currently derives an Overvalued verdict for the homebuilder. As a Consumer Cyclical company dependent on favorable interest rate environments and housing demand, the company's ability to service increased debt becomes a relevant factor for investors monitoring valuation metrics in an already elevated pricing context. Market participants focused on leverage ratios and debt-to-equity trends should track how this capital raise impacts Lennar's financial position relative to its current valuation assessment.
Lennar: Berkshire Owns 12%, And The Stock Trades At 0.83x Book (NYSE:LEN) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-07)
TickrTrends take: Lennar trades at a valuation multiple of less than one times book value, which some investors view as attractive given the company's market position in homebuilding. However, TickrTrends' current assessment marks the stock as overvalued within the Consumer Cyclical sector, suggesting that current price levels may not reflect sufficient margin of safety relative to fundamental risks. For valuation-focused readers, the tension between a low price-to-book ratio and an overvalued verdict warrants close monitoring of earnings trends and balance sheet strength to determine whether the discount reflects genuine opportunity or signals underlying weakness.
Lennar (LEN) Trades Below Its Own Book Value and Berkshire Keeps Adding. Why? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-07)
TickrTrends take: Lennar is trading below its book value, which typically indicates the market is pricing in concerns about future profitability or return on equity despite the company's tangible asset base. TickrTrends currently rates LEN as overvalued despite this discount to book value, suggesting the valuation model accounts for sector-wide cyclicality and other fundamental metrics beyond asset pricing. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether Lennar's earnings power justifies the discount or if book value itself faces downward pressure from housing market conditions affecting the Consumer Cyclical sector.

More LEN news

MRP Downgraded by Citizens -- Rating Changed to Market Perform (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)

What people are saying

Follow the LEN conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-10-06 — LennarCorp's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from 79th to 85th position among Consumer Cyclical companies. This shift indicates the stock has become relatively less discounted compared to its sector peers. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.

Frequently asked questions

Is LEN stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), LEN is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is LEN's TickrTrends verdict?

LEN's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does LEN compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

LEN ranks #84 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.

Is LEN overbought or oversold?

LEN's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

Does LEN pay a dividend?

Yes. LEN paid $2.00 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.61% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-07.

Does LEN usually beat earnings estimates?

Over its last 8 reported quarters LEN beat the consensus estimate 3 times and missed 5 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.

What do analysts say about LEN?

Of 19 analysts covering LEN, 2 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 8 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $77.9 (+1.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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