Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
MSI price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedMSI is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $444.18
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $363.83–$491.24
- Market cap
- $73.5B
- From 52-week high
- -9.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 165M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #84 of 181
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Motorola Solutions, Inc. is a technology company that designs, manufactures, and sells communication equipment and software, including two-way radios, mobile computing devices, and public safety systems. The company operates globally, serving customers in the public safety, enterprise, and government sectors across multiple continents.
MSI currently ranks #84 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 4 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $73.5B
- P/E (trailing)
- 28x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.2B
- Net margin
- 17.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $15.95
- Gross margin
- 53.6%
- Debt / equity
- 3.60
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 7.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 165M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 58 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $464.09
- 200-day average
- $434.83
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $4.84 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.09%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 13
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-16
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-15
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+14.6%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+3.7%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+5.5%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+5.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+2.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+5.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+3.9%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+10.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 12 buy · 2 hold · 0 sell (14 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $527
- Target vs last price
- +18.6%
What our data shows for MSI
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MSI, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $363.83–$491.24.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 58.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MSI
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent MSI news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MSI is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Motorola Solutions: Contracted Backlog Protects It Against AI Spending Swings (NYSE:MSI) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Motorola Solutions maintains a contracted backlog that provides revenue visibility and stability, which can reduce the impact of market fluctuations in artificial intelligence spending on its financial performance. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation should monitor how this backlog translates into consistent earnings delivery over coming quarters, as predictable revenue streams can support sustainable pricing multiples. The company's position in the Technology sector, combined with backlog protection against cyclical spending patterns, presents a foundation for evaluating whether current valuations reflect the stability of its revenue base. - Wedgewood Partners Q3 2026 Client Letter (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: # MSI Valuation Context MSI trades at an Undervalued designation according to TickrTrends' derived verdict, positioning it within a valuation window that may interest investors focused on price-to-fundamentals metrics. Monitoring commentary from notable investment firms regarding technology sector positioning could provide additional context on whether current market pricing aligns with underlying business performance. For valuation-focused readers, tracking how MSI's fundamentals evolve relative to its current Undervalued status will be relevant to assessing whether the gap between price and intrinsic value narrows or widens. - MSI DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $277 vs Price $449 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: MSI is currently trading at $449 while a discounted cash flow analysis suggests an intrinsic value of $277, representing a significant gap between market price and this valuation measure. TickrTrends currently rates MSI as undervalued, which contrasts with the DCF analysis indicating the stock trades at a substantial premium to its calculated intrinsic value. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this divergence reflects market confidence in factors the DCF model may not fully capture or whether the gap presents an opportunity for mean reversion.
More MSI news
- MSI DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $277 vs Price $446 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
- Motorola (MSI) Has Cash to Deploy. Where Can it Create the Most Value? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-28)
- Motorola Solutions (MSI) Powering Essential Communications for First Responders (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-21)
What people are saying
Follow the MSI conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — # MSI (Technology Sector) - Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for MSI in the Technology sector shifted this week, with the sector discount rank moving from #103 to #115, indicating a relative weakening in valuation positioning compared to peer sectors. Despite this decline in ranking, the current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — # MSI Technology Sector - Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for MSI within the Technology sector have shifted this week, with the valuation verdict moving from Fairly valued to Undervalued. This change reflects adjustments in the underlying metrics that inform the platform's valuation assessment. The current Undervalued designation suggests that recent movements in the measured indicators have altered the relative pricing perspective for this sector position.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — MSI's sector discount rank improved to number 114 this week from number 125 last week, indicating a relative strengthening of its valuation position within the Technology sector. The stock remains fairly valued according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is MSI stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), MSI is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MSI's TickrTrends verdict?
MSI's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MSI compare to other Technology stocks?
MSI ranks #84 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is MSI overbought or oversold?
MSI's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does MSI pay a dividend?
Yes. MSI paid $4.84 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.09% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 13 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-16.
When does MSI report earnings next?
MSI's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29, per the published earnings calendar.
Does MSI usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters MSI beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about MSI?
Of 14 analysts covering MSI, 12 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $527 (+18.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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