Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Northern Trust Corporation is a financial services company that provides asset management, asset servicing, and banking solutions to institutional clients, corporations, and high-net-worth individuals. The company operates globally with a significant presence in the United States and maintains offices and operations across Europe, Asia, and other international markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, NTRS is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

NTRS currently ranks #120 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $186.63
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $127.68–$182.20

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: C
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: High
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for NTRS

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NTRS, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $127.68–$182.20.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 56.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NTRS
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent NTRS news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NTRS is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Northern Trust (NTRS) Deepens Its Bet On Digital Assets (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: Northern Trust's expansion into digital assets represents a strategic shift toward growth areas within the financial services sector, though this move occurs while TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this digital assets initiative can generate sufficient revenue growth and profitability to justify the current market price, or whether execution challenges in an emerging business line could pressure financial results. The success of this bet will be particularly relevant for value-oriented investors given the current overvaluation designation.
Northern Trust Stock: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-26)
TickrTrends take: Northern Trust Corporation operates in the Financial Services sector and is currently assessed as overvalued according to TickrTrends metrics. Given this overvaluation designation, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether Wall Street sentiment remains bullish or turns bearish, as a shift toward bearish positioning could either validate the overvaluation assessment or potentially create a disconnect between analyst views and the stock's current price level. The relationship between Street sentiment and the company's fundamental valuation metrics will be particularly important for tracking if the stock reprices toward levels more aligned with its intrinsic value.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is NTRS stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), NTRS is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is NTRS's TickrTrends verdict?

NTRS's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does NTRS compare to other Financial Services stocks?

NTRS ranks #120 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is NTRS overbought or oversold?

NTRS's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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