Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
NTRS price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedNTRS is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $168.21
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $122.72–$191.47
- Market cap
- $30.8B
- From 52-week high
- -12.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 183M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #104 of 167
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Northern Trust Corporation is a financial services company that provides asset management, asset servicing, and banking solutions to institutional clients, corporations, and high-net-worth individuals. The company operates globally with a significant presence in the United States and maintains offices and operations across Europe, Asia, and other international markets.
NTRS currently ranks #104 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 4 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $30.8B
- P/E (trailing)
- 16x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15.2B
- Net margin
- 14.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $10.39
- Gross margin
- 64.2%
- Debt / equity
- 1.18
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 10.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 183M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 34 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $179.52
- 200-day average
- $164.21
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $3.28 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.95%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-04
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-01
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+10.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+16.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+2.1%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+2.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+4.4%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+3.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+13.0%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+15.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 10 hold · 3 sell (15 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $182
- Target vs last price
- +8.2%
What our data shows for NTRS
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NTRS, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $122.72–$191.47.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 34.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NTRS
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent NTRS news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NTRS is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Northern Trust Stock: Efficiency Efforts Show Continued Progress (Upgrade) (NASDAQ:NTRS) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-23)
TickrTrends take: Northern Trust's progress on operational efficiency aligns with the cost management initiatives that underpin its current fairly valued assessment within the Financial Services sector. For valuation-focused investors, monitoring the company's ability to sustain and expand these efficiency gains will be important, as continued operational leverage could support earnings growth relative to the current valuation multiples. The trajectory of these efforts may influence how the market reassesses the stock's valuation positioning over time. - Northern Trust Corporation 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:NTRS) 2026-10-22 (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: Northern Trust Corporation released its third quarter 2026 results, providing updated financial performance data relevant to assessing its fair value positioning. Given TickrTrends' current fairly valued assessment, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how the company's earnings trends and asset management performance in this latest quarter compare to the assumptions embedded in that valuation. Within the Financial Services sector, Northern Trust's ability to maintain or grow its revenue streams amid market conditions will be key to determining whether the fairly valued designation remains appropriate or warrants reassessment. - Q3 2026 Northern Trust Corp Earnings Call Transcript (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Northern Trust Corporation's Q3 2026 earnings call provides the most recent operational results for investors evaluating the company's valuation relative to fundamentals in the Financial Services sector. Given TickrTrends' fairly valued assessment, earnings performance and forward guidance from this call would be key metrics to monitor for determining whether the current valuation remains appropriate or warrants reassessment. Investors should focus on revenue trends, asset management performance, and any changes to cost structure or capital deployment that could affect the company's earnings power and justify shifts away from fair value positioning.
More NTRS news
- Northern Trust Gets Buy Reaffirmed Ahead Of Q3 Results, A Bet On Quality (NASDAQ:NTRS) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-16)
- Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy? (zacks.com, 2026-10-14)
- State Street (STT) vs BNY (BNY) and Northern Trust (NTRS): Which Custodian Bank is a Better Buy? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-13)
- Why Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your Portfolio (zacks.com, 2026-10-09)
- AI is giving CFOs a bigger slice of the C-suite, new IBM data shows (fortune.com, 2026-09-30)
What people are saying
Follow the NTRS conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — NTRS, a Financial Services sector stock currently assessed as fairly valued, shifted its RSI zone from oversold to neutral this week according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. This movement suggests the stock's momentum has transitioned away from the oversold reading that characterized the previous week's assessment.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — NTRS has moved into oversold territory on the relative strength index this week, a shift from the neutral zone observed previously. Concurrently, the valuation assessment has improved from overvalued to fairly valued, indicating a reassessment of the company's price relative to its fundamentals in the Financial Services sector.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — NTRS has shifted higher in the sector discount rankings this week, moving from #130 to #120 among Financial Services companies. Despite this improvement in relative valuation positioning, the stock remains assessed as overvalued based on TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NTRS stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NTRS is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NTRS's TickrTrends verdict?
NTRS's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NTRS compare to other Financial Services stocks?
NTRS ranks #104 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NTRS overbought or oversold?
NTRS's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does NTRS pay a dividend?
Yes. NTRS paid $3.28 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.95% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-04.
Does NTRS usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NTRS beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NTRS?
Of 15 analysts covering NTRS, 2 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 3 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $182 (+8.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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