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Nova Minerals Limited (NVA) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19

NVA price how computed

Last close $3.13 -$0.46 (-12.81%) since 2026-10-15

1M -48.35%3M -31.81%6M -51.85%

High $6.06Low $3.132026-09-18 → 2026-10-16High $6.49Low $3.132026-07-21 → 2026-10-16High $6.50Low $3.132026-06-17 → 2026-10-16 (85 sessions)

Valuation status

Reports in AUD

NVA reports its results in AUD while its shares trade in US dollars.

Forward Fair Value needs earnings and price in the same currency, so TickrTrends publishes no fair-value verdict for NVA until same-currency inputs are available. Price and market cap below are in US dollars; revenue and EPS are shown in AUD.

Last price
$5.45
Sector
Basic Materials
12-month range
$4.60–$6.50
Market cap
$208M
From 52-week high
-16.2%
Shares outstanding
38.2M
Rank in Basic Materials by quality score
#41 of 48

Last price is the 2026-10-01 month-start close, the freshest stored price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.

Nova Minerals Limited is an exploration and development company focused on precious metals and base metals projects. The company operates primarily in Papua New Guinea, where it holds exploration assets in the Highlands region.

NVA currently ranks #41 of 48 Basic Materials stocks by quality score.

Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed

Revenue and EPS are shown in AUD; the trailing P/E is omitted because an EPS in AUD against a US-dollar share price would mislead.

Market cap
$208M
Debt / equity
0.04
Shares outstanding
38.2M

Derived indicators how computed

Quality grade
F
Margin trend
Contracting
50/200-day trend
Mixed
52-week position
The lower-middle quarter of its range

Technicals how computed

RSI (14-day)
19 · oversold

Earnings how computed

Last 1 quarters vs consensus
0 beat, 1 missed
Quarter by quarter
2024-12 ▼ miss

Analyst consensus how computed

This is not TickrTrends' verdict.

Consensus price target
$10
Target vs last price
+83.5%

What our data shows for NVA

What subscribers see

Explore the fair value screener →

Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.

What people are saying

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Frequently asked questions

Is NVA stock undervalued?

NVA reports its results in AUD while its shares trade in US dollars. Forward Fair Value needs earnings and price in the same currency, so TickrTrends publishes no fair-value verdict for NVA until same-currency inputs are available.

What is NVA's TickrTrends verdict?

NVA is currently marked 'Reports in AUD' - no verdict is published on inputs in two different currencies.

How does NVA compare to other Basic Materials stocks?

NVA ranks #41 of 48 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by quality score. It carries no fair-value verdict yet, so it is not ranked by discount.

Is NVA overbought or oversold?

NVA's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.

Does NVA usually beat earnings estimates?

Over its last 1 reported quarters NVA beat the consensus estimate 0 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.

All Basic Materials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

NVA vs GSM · NVA vs NB · NVA vs NICM · NVA vs PPTA