The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
SHW price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedSHW is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $319.36
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- 12-month range
- $293.00–$372.60
- Market cap
- $77.5B
- From 52-week high
- -14.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 243M
- Rank in Basic Materials by discount to fair value
- #10 of 26
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Sherwin-Williams Company is a manufacturer and seller of paints, coatings, and related products for both residential and commercial applications. The company operates manufacturing facilities and distributes its products across North America, Europe, Asia, and other international markets through a combination of company-operated stores and third-party retailers.
SHW currently ranks #10 of 26 Basic Materials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $77.5B
- P/E (trailing)
- 27x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $24.4B
- Net margin
- 11.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $11.87
- Gross margin
- 49.2%
- Debt / equity
- 3.69
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 3.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 243M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 62 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $334.17
- 200-day average
- $333.16
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $3.19 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.00%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 3
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-21
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-11
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-27 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+3.9%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+3.5%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+3.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+4.4%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-11.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+4.2%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+1.5%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-4.8%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 15 buy · 12 hold · 0 sell (27 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $383
- Target vs last price
- +19.9%
What our data shows for SHW
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SHW, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $293.00–$372.60.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 62.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SHW
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent SHW news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SHW is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Sherwin-Williams (SHW) Maintains Quarterly Dividend at $0.80 with 0.95% Yield (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Sherwin-Williams maintains its quarterly dividend commitment at a level that translates to a yield of under 1 percent, which aligns with typical payout practices for a mature company in the Basic Materials sector. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment for SHW, investors focused on valuation metrics may want to monitor whether the company's earnings growth trajectory supports the current dividend policy while still leaving room for share buybacks or reinvestment. A stable dividend paired with an undervalued rating suggests the market may not be fully reflecting the company's cash generation capacity or growth prospects. - Sherwin-Williams: Recovery Is Already Priced In (NYSE:SHW) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-08)
TickrTrends take: Sherwin-Williams trades in the Basic Materials sector where cyclical pressures can significantly impact earnings trajectories, making near-term execution critical to justify current valuations. TickrTrends currently identifies SHW as undervalued, suggesting the market may not fully reflect the company's recovery potential despite the headline's assertion that a turnaround is already priced into the stock. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether SHW's operational metrics and margin performance validate this undervaluation assessment or whether further repricing becomes necessary. - Sherwin-Williams (SHW): Is Its Pro-Painter Distribution Moat Underappreciated? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-05)
TickrTrends take: Sherwin-Williams operates a specialized distribution network focused on professional painters, which represents a competitive advantage that investors evaluating the company's valuation should monitor closely. TickrTrends currently rates SHW as undervalued within the Basic Materials sector, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the strength and durability of this distribution moat. The sustainability and expansion potential of the company's pro-painter channel will be relevant to watch as an indicator of whether the undervalued assessment holds or shifts.
More SHW news
- Sherwin-Williams Expands Largest North American Facility, Ticker SHW (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
What people are saying
Follow the SHW conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — SHW's RSI zone shifted from oversold to neutral this week, indicating a change in the stock's momentum dynamics within TickrTrends' derived indicators. The stock maintains an undervalued verdict based on current valuation assessment.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is SHW stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), SHW is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is SHW's TickrTrends verdict?
SHW's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does SHW compare to other Basic Materials stocks?
SHW ranks #10 of 26 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is SHW overbought or oversold?
SHW's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does SHW pay a dividend?
Yes. SHW paid $3.19 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.00% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 3 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-21.
When does SHW report earnings next?
SHW's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-27 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does SHW usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters SHW beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about SHW?
Of 27 analysts covering SHW, 15 rate it a buy, 12 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $383 (+19.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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