Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
VMC price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedVMC is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $244.58
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- 12-month range
- $240.83–$330.37
- Market cap
- $31.7B
- From 52-week high
- -26.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 130M
- Rank in Basic Materials by discount to fair value
- #4 of 26
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Vulcan Materials Company is a producer of construction aggregates, including crushed stone, sand, and gravel, along with related materials such as asphalt and ready-mixed concrete. The company operates quarries and production facilities across the United States.
VMC currently ranks #4 of 26 Basic Materials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $31.7B
- P/E (trailing)
- 29x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.11B
- Net margin
- 13.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $8.48
- Gross margin
- 29.0%
- Debt / equity
- 0.58
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -0.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 130M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 64 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $258.30
- 200-day average
- $281.86
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.05 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.84%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 12
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-11-09
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-02
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+3.6%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+22.7%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-20.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+4.4%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-2.8%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+31.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+24.0%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-3.9%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 16 buy · 7 hold · 1 sell (24 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $308
- Target vs last price
- +25.9%
What our data shows for VMC
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for VMC, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $240.83–$330.37.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 64.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for VMC
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent VMC news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for VMC is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- VMC Maintained by Raymond James -- Price Target Lowered to $308 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Raymond James' recent action to lower VMC's price target while maintaining coverage suggests the analyst sees near-term headwinds despite ongoing conviction in the company. Given that TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for VMC in the Basic Materials sector, investors should monitor whether this analyst adjustment reflects broader market concerns that might pressure the valuation thesis, or if it represents a tactical repricing within a fundamentally sound company. The gap between analyst price targets and valuation-focused assessments often signals opportunity for those with longer time horizons in cyclical materials businesses. - VMC Maintained by JP Morgan -- Price Target Lowered to $300 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: JP Morgan's maintained rating on VMC comes as the firm reduced its price target to $300, a development that occurs within TickrTrends' current assessment of the stock as undervalued. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the gap between the analyst's new price target and VMC's current trading levels will be relevant to monitor as it may inform whether the undervalued designation persists. Given VMC's position in the Basic Materials sector, which experiences cyclical pressures, the distinction between analyst targets and intrinsic value assessments remains an important data point to track. - VMC Maintains Underweight Rating by Wells Fargo -- Price Target Lowered to $249 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
TickrTrends take: Wells Fargo's downward revision of VMC's price target to 249 aligns with a cautious near-term outlook, yet TickrTrends currently derives an undervalued assessment for the stock. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether this analyst downgrade pressures the stock toward levels that make the fundamental undervaluation thesis more compelling, or whether the market reprices based on the analyst's concerns about VMC's prospects in the Basic Materials sector. The divergence between Wells Fargo's underweight stance and TickrTrends' undervalued verdict presents a point of tension worth tracking as earnings and commodity trends develop.
More VMC news
- VMC Maintained by Truist Securities -- Price Target Lowered to $320 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
- VMC Maintained by Citigroup -- Price Target Lowered to $300 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
What people are saying
Follow the VMC conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — VMC's quality grade improved from F to D this week, indicating a modest enhancement in the underlying business metrics tracked by TickrTrends' derived indicators. The stock remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation analysis within the Basic Materials sector.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — VMC in the Basic Materials sector has moved from an oversold RSI zone to a neutral zone this week. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict based on TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-09-21 — VMC's technical indicators shifted this week as its Relative Strength Index moved from the neutral zone into oversold territory, suggesting the stock has experienced recent downward pressure. The stock remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation metrics. This combination of oversold technical conditions with undervaluation status may warrant monitoring by investors tracking the Basic Materials sector.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is VMC stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), VMC is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is VMC's TickrTrends verdict?
VMC's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does VMC compare to other Basic Materials stocks?
VMC ranks #4 of 26 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is VMC overbought or oversold?
VMC's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does VMC pay a dividend?
Yes. VMC paid $2.05 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.84% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 12 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-11-09.
When does VMC report earnings next?
VMC's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does VMC usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters VMC beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about VMC?
Of 24 analysts covering VMC, 16 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $308 (+25.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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