Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (APD) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
APD price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedAPD is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $281.26
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- 12-month range
- $230.76–$314.19
- Market cap
- $62.6B
- From 52-week high
- -10.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 223M
- Rank in Basic Materials by discount to fair value
- #25 of 26
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. is a global manufacturer and supplier of industrial gases, specialty chemicals, and related equipment and services used in a wide range of industries including refining, chemical processing, metals production, electronics, and healthcare. The company operates facilities and serves customers across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide.
APD currently ranks #25 of 26 Basic Materials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $62.6B
- P/E (trailing)
- 21x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.6B
- Net margin
- -0.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $13.22
- Gross margin
- 32.8%
- Debt / equity
- 1.31
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -0.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 223M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 67 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $293.85
- 200-day average
- $287.73
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $7.22 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.57%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-01
- Last payment date
- 2026-11-09
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+3.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+4.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+3.9%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+0.3%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+3.3%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-4.9%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+0.7%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+2.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 15 buy · 7 hold · 0 sell (22 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $342
- Target vs last price
- +21.6%
What our data shows for APD
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for APD, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $230.76–$314.19.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 67.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for APD
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent APD news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for APD is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Air Products Offers a 2.6% Yield. The Bigger Question is What Comes Next (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Air Products currently trades at a valuation that TickrTrends considers undervalued within the Basic Materials sector, which provides context for evaluating the sustainability and growth potential of its current yield offering. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the key consideration is whether the company's underlying earnings and cash flow generation can support both the current distribution level and future capital allocation as the business evolves. The market's assessment of what comes next for the company's dividend policy and operational performance will likely be reflected in how the valuation gap closes over time. - APD Initiates Coverage On Barclays -- Rating Set to Overweight (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Air Products and Chemicals has recently received an overweight rating initiation from Barclays, which adds analyst attention to a company currently assessed as undervalued by TickrTrends metrics. For valuation-focused investors, this analyst move provides an external validation point to consider alongside the quantitative undervaluation signal, though the two assessments operate from different analytical frameworks. Monitoring how this coverage influences institutional interest and trading activity in the Basic Materials sector could offer insight into whether the market begins to recognize the valuation gap identified by TickrTrends. - Air Products And Chemicals: Back In The Buy Column Now (NYSE:APD) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-14)
TickrTrends take: Air Products and Chemicals operates in the Basic Materials sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued according to TickrTrends analysis. An analyst's recommendation to return to a buy position suggests potential opportunity recognition, though this contrasts with the fairly valued assessment, indicating readers should monitor whether fundamental metrics strengthen to justify a shift from fair value to undervalued territory. Valuation-focused investors may want to track whether upcoming earnings or operational developments align the company's price movement with its intrinsic value assessment.
More APD news
- APD Maintained by Argus Research -- Price Target Raised to $329 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-09)
What people are saying
Follow the APD conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is APD stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), APD is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is APD's TickrTrends verdict?
APD's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does APD compare to other Basic Materials stocks?
APD ranks #25 of 26 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is APD overbought or oversold?
APD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does APD pay a dividend?
Yes. APD paid $7.22 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.57% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-01.
When does APD report earnings next?
APD's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does APD usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters APD beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about APD?
Of 22 analysts covering APD, 15 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $342 (+21.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Basic Materials
Head-to-head comparisons
APD vs ALB · APD vs ASPI · APD vs BCPC · APD vs CF · APD vs DD