Nova Ltd. (NVMI) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
NVMI price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedNVMI is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $321.20
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $275.78–$605.65
- Market cap
- $10.2B
- From 52-week high
- -47.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 31.8M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #81 of 181
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Nova Ltd. is an Israeli technology company that designs and manufactures advanced metrology and inspection systems used primarily in semiconductor manufacturing. The company operates globally, serving chipmakers and semiconductor equipment manufacturers across multiple continents from its headquarters in Israel.
NVMI currently ranks #81 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. Its Undervalued verdict is new as of this week's run.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $10.2B
- P/E (trailing)
- 36x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $937M
- Net margin
- 28.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $8.98
- Gross margin
- 56.5%
- Debt / equity
- 0.55
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 32.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 31.8M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 36 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $368.83
- 200-day average
- $444.42
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+5.4%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+5.9%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+0.9%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+0.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+10.2%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+4.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+6.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+3.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 7 buy · 1 hold · 0 sell (8 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $515
- Target vs last price
- +60.3%
What our data shows for NVMI
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NVMI, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $275.78–$605.65.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 36.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NVMI
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
What people are saying
Follow the NVMI conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — # NVMI Stock Research TickrTrends' derived indicators for NVMI shifted this week, with the valuation verdict changing from Fairly valued to Undervalued. The Technology sector company's current assessment reflects an Undervalued position based on the latest indicator analysis.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — NVMI has experienced a shift in its technical positioning this week, with the 50/200-day trend state moving from mixed to downtrend. The company's sector discount rank improved to 115th from 136th, indicating a more favorable valuation relative to other technology sector peers. At its current valuation of fairly valued, NVMI remains positioned within a reasonable range relative to its fundamentals.
- 2026-10-05 — NVMI's trend indicators shifted this week as the 50/200-day moving average relationship moved from a downtrend to a mixed state. The stock remains in the Technology sector and maintains a fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics. This change in trend state represents a potential stabilization from the previous downward momentum.
- 2026-09-28 — NVMI's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from #122 to #133 among Technology sector companies. This shift indicates the stock has become relatively less discounted compared to peers in its sector. The stock maintains a Fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NVMI stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NVMI is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NVMI's TickrTrends verdict?
NVMI's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NVMI compare to other Technology stocks?
NVMI ranks #81 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NVMI overbought or oversold?
NVMI's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does NVMI report earnings next?
NVMI's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does NVMI usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NVMI beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NVMI?
Of 8 analysts covering NVMI, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $515 (+60.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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