Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
OXY price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedOXY is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $60.11
- Sector
- Energy
- 12-month range
- $38.92–$66.24
- Market cap
- $60.1B
- From 52-week high
- -9.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 1B
- Rank in Energy by discount to fair value
- #7 of 24
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company operates in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America.
OXY currently ranks #7 of 24 Energy stocks by discount to fair value. Its Fairly valued verdict is new as of this week's run.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $60.1B
- P/E (trailing)
- 14x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $25.2B
- Net margin
- 28.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $4.41
- Gross margin
- 81.0%
- Debt / equity
- 0.35
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 4.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 1B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 61 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $59.32
- 200-day average
- $55.03
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.04 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.73%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 4
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-10
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-15
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-09 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+25.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+79.7%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+63.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+23.1%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+25.8%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+14.5%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+19.4%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+33.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 10 buy · 16 hold · 0 sell (26 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $69.6
- Target vs last price
- +15.8%
What our data shows for OXY
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for OXY, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $38.92–$66.24.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 61.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for OXY
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent OXY news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for OXY is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- OXY Maintained by Susquehanna -- Price Target Raised to $77.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Susquehanna's price target increase to $77 for OXY suggests analyst confidence in the company's prospects within the energy sector, though TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as fairly valued at its existing levels. For valuation-focused investors, the gap between the maintained rating and the raised price target indicates that upside may depend on execution against analyst expectations rather than current market mispricing. The maintained rating combined with the higher target underscores the importance of monitoring whether OXY's operational performance and energy market conditions will validate the analyst's optimism or whether the fairly valued assessment will persist. - Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know (zacks.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Occidental Petroleum operates in the Energy sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued according to TickrTrends' analysis. Given this valuation standing, investors monitoring the company should pay attention to what specific developments are driving current attention, as movements away from fair value territory would likely require meaningful changes in operational performance or market conditions. For a valuation-focused reader, the key consideration is whether increased investor interest reflects genuine improvements in fundamentals or represents temporary sentiment shifts that could affect the company's valuation trajectory. - Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Rises After Roth Capital Upgrade to Buy (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Occidental Petroleum's recent upgrade by Roth Capital adds positive momentum to a stock that TickrTrends currently assesses as fairly valued in the Energy sector. For valuation-focused investors, the key consideration is whether this analyst upgrade reflects improved fundamentals that might shift the fairly valued assessment, or whether it simply represents analyst sentiment catching up to existing market pricing. Monitoring how the stock trades relative to sector peers and any subsequent earnings or operational developments will help determine if the current valuation offers a meaningful entry point.
More OXY news
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Rises 0.8% on Q3 Oil Price Surge and Dividend Outlook (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It (zacks.com, 2026-10-09)
- What is Occidental’s (OXY) Economic Moat, and is it Widening or Narrowing? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-06)
What people are saying
Follow the OXY conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — OXY's valuation position improved this week as its sector discount ranking moved from number 13 to number 7 among Energy sector peers. The company's valuation verdict shifted from Overvalued to Fairly valued, reflecting a more balanced assessment of its current price relative to its fundamentals.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — # OXY Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for OXY shifted this week, with the valuation verdict moving from Fairly valued to Overvalued. This change reflects a reassessment of the company's current valuation relative to its fundamentals within the Energy sector. The shift to an Overvalued designation suggests that OXY's current market price has increased relative to the metrics underlying TickrTrends' valuation model.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is OXY stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), OXY is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is OXY's TickrTrends verdict?
OXY's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does OXY compare to other Energy stocks?
OXY ranks #7 of 24 Energy stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is OXY overbought or oversold?
OXY's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does OXY pay a dividend?
Yes. OXY paid $1.04 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.73% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 4 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-10.
When does OXY report earnings next?
OXY's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-09 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does OXY usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters OXY beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about OXY?
Of 26 analysts covering OXY, 10 rate it a buy, 16 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $69.6 (+15.8% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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