Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company operates in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, OXY is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

OXY currently ranks #12 of 25 Energy stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $60.04
Sector: Energy
12-month range: $40.92–$62.23

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Undervalued

What our data shows for OXY

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for OXY, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $40.92–$62.23.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 67.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for OXY
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent OXY news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for OXY is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Is Occidental Petroleum a Bargain or a Value Trap Right Now? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-31)
TickrTrends take: Occidental Petroleum trades in a sector where commodity price cycles significantly influence valuation metrics, making the distinction between temporary undervaluation and structural value traps particularly important for investors to navigate. TickrTrends currently categorizes OXY as overvalued, suggesting that despite potential bargain-like pricing in some metrics, the overall risk-reward profile does not favor entry at current levels. For valuation-focused investors, monitoring how oil price trends, production costs, and debt levels evolve relative to current market pricing will be essential to determining whether the current assessment shifts.
Chevron vs. Occidental: Which Oil Major's Dividend Is Actually Safer? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-29)
TickrTrends take: Occidental's dividend safety relative to peer companies like Chevron is a key consideration for income-focused investors, particularly given TickrTrends' current assessment that OXY shares are overvalued. When an energy stock trading at elevated valuation levels faces questions about dividend sustainability, investors should monitor whether earnings growth and cash flow generation can justify both the current share price and the distribution level. The comparison to Chevron's dividend profile underscores the importance of evaluating OXY's payout ratio and operational cash flow relative to its valuation standing in the sector.
Occidental Petroleum: An Improved Balance Sheet Results In A Great Opportunity (NYSE:OXY) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-29)
TickrTrends take: Occidental Petroleum's balance sheet improvements represent a fundamental shift in the company's financial position that could influence how the Energy sector values its debt capacity and cash generation relative to peers. Given TickrTrends' current Overvalued assessment, investors should monitor whether these balance sheet gains translate into reduced leverage metrics or increased shareholder returns that might justify the current valuation, or whether improvements are already priced in. The timing of balance sheet strengthening typically attracts value-oriented scrutiny, making it important to track whether OXY's metrics are converging with or diverging from sector-average valuations.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is OXY stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), OXY is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is OXY's TickrTrends verdict?

OXY's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does OXY compare to other Energy stocks?

OXY ranks #12 of 25 Energy stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is OXY overbought or oversold?

OXY's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Energy fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

OXY vs COP · OXY vs FANG · OXY vs HAL · OXY vs KMI · OXY vs MPC