Phillips 66 (PSX) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Phillips 66 is an energy company that operates refineries, chemical plants, midstream assets, and marketing operations. The company operates facilities across the United States and internationally.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, PSX is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

PSX currently ranks #4 of 25 Energy stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $255.09
Sector: Energy
12-month range: $130.57–$252.02

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Overbought
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for PSX

Our model validated 14 trailing price-to-earnings windows for PSX, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $130.57–$252.02.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 82.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for PSX
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent PSX news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for PSX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Wells Fargo Just Raised its Bets on These 2 Refining Giants (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-07)
TickrTrends take: Wells Fargo's increased positioning in refining stocks reflects analyst confidence in the sector's fundamentals and near-term prospects. For PSX, which operates in the Energy sector and currently trades at a Fairly valued assessment according to TickrTrends, this analyst upgrade underscores that the market has already priced in reasonable expectations for the refinery operator. Investors monitoring PSX should observe whether operational metrics or crude spread environments move materially enough to shift the stock away from its current fair value designation.
Why Is Phillips 66 (PSX) Up 23.9% Since Last Earnings Report? (zacks.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: Phillips 66 shares have appreciated significantly in the period following the company's most recent earnings report, a movement that warrants examination given the current fairly valued assessment from TickrTrends. For valuation-focused investors, the key question is whether this recent price appreciation has shifted the company's fundamental value proposition or merely adjusted market sentiment around its energy sector operations. Monitoring upcoming earnings reports and any changes in the company's operational metrics will be important for determining whether the current fairly valued rating remains appropriate or requires reassessment.
Phillips 66 (PSX): A Closer Look Behind a 61 GF Score (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: Phillips 66 operates in the Energy sector and currently carries a Fairly valued designation according to TickrTrends analysis. A GF Score of 61 places the company in a middle range for quality and financial metrics, suggesting investors should monitor whether operational improvements or sector dynamics might shift the valuation assessment. For those tracking valuation relative to fundamentals, this score alongside the Fairly valued status indicates the stock is priced reasonably relative to its current business quality, though meaningful changes in either metric could warrant reassessment.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — PSX's momentum indicator has shifted from a rating of A to no rating this week, representing a notable change in the energy sector's technical positioning. The stock maintains a fairly valued status according to current valuation metrics. This week's adjustment suggests a transition away from the previously strong momentum signal that characterized the prior week's analysis.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is PSX stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), PSX is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is PSX's TickrTrends verdict?

PSX's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does PSX compare to other Energy stocks?

PSX ranks #4 of 25 Energy stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is PSX overbought or oversold?

PSX's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.

All Energy fair-value coverage →

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