PACCAR Inc (PCAR) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
PCAR price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedPCAR is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $108.04
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $94.15–$138.21
- Market cap
- $56.9B
- From 52-week high
- -21.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 526M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #83 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
PACCAR Inc is a manufacturer of heavy-duty trucks and related components, serving commercial transportation customers worldwide. The company operates manufacturing facilities and sales operations across North America, Europe, and other international markets.
PCAR currently ranks #83 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $56.9B
- P/E (trailing)
- 23x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $27.3B
- Net margin
- 9.2%
- EPS (TTM)
- $4.76
- Gross margin
- 16.1%
- Debt / equity
- 0.72
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -4.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 526M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 39 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $119.71
- 200-day average
- $120.61
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.76 per share (5 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.55%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-11-10
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-02
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-27 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+7.5%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-0.9%)
2025-12 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+3.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+4.6%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-39.6%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-1.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+1.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 8 buy · 10 hold · 0 sell (18 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $133
- Target vs last price
- +23.1%
What our data shows for PCAR
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for PCAR, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $94.15–$138.21.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 39.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for PCAR
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent PCAR news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for PCAR is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- PCAR DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $73 vs Price $110 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: PCAR is trading at $110 while a discounted cash flow analysis suggests an intrinsic value of $73, representing a gap that aligns with TickrTrends' overvalued assessment for the industrial equipment manufacturer. The $37 difference between current price and the DCF-derived value indicates the market is pricing in expectations that may exceed the company's fundamental cash generation potential. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether PCAR's actual cash flows and growth rates support the current premium to its calculated intrinsic value, or whether mean reversion toward the DCF estimate could occur. - PCAR DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $73 vs Price $108 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: The DCF analysis suggests PCAR shares are trading at a significant premium to the calculated intrinsic value of $73, which aligns with TickrTrends' overvalued assessment at the current price of $108. For valuation-focused investors, this gap indicates the market is pricing in expectations beyond what fundamental cash flow analysis supports, leaving limited margin of safety at current levels. Monitoring whether the company can demonstrate earnings growth sufficient to justify this valuation multiple or whether the stock price adjusts toward intrinsic value would be key factors for those focused on value-based investing. - ETFs Are Net Sellers of PACCAR (PCAR) on Friday (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: ETF flows represent a significant portion of trading volume in many stocks, and net selling pressure from these large institutional holders can influence short-term price dynamics for PACCAR. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that PCAR is overvalued, the direction of these ETF flows warrants attention as a potential indicator of whether the stock's valuation premium may persist or begin to normalize. Valuation-focused investors should monitor whether this selling pressure accelerates or reverses, as sustained outflows from ETFs could reinforce concerns about current pricing levels in the Industrials sector.
More PCAR news
- PCAR Maintained by Citigroup -- Price Target Lowered to $115 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- PCAR Maintains by Truist Securities -- Price Target Lowered to $125 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
What people are saying
Follow the PCAR conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — # PCAR Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for PCAR reflect a shift toward more neutral momentum this week, as the relative strength index moved out of oversold territory. Despite this improvement in the technical reading, the current valuation verdict remains overvalued, suggesting that recent price movements have not yet addressed the underlying valuation concerns identified by TickrTrends' analysis.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — PCAR's quality grade improved from F to D this week according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. The stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict in the Industrials sector.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — # PCAR Weekly Changes TickrTrends' derived indicators for PCAR showed a shift in momentum this week, with the RSI zone moving from neutral to oversold territory. The stock's current valuation verdict remains overvalued despite this technical deterioration in its short-term price action.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is PCAR stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), PCAR is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is PCAR's TickrTrends verdict?
PCAR's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does PCAR compare to other Industrials stocks?
PCAR ranks #83 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is PCAR overbought or oversold?
PCAR's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does PCAR pay a dividend?
Yes. PCAR paid $2.76 per share over the last twelve months (5 payments), a 2.55% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-11-10.
When does PCAR report earnings next?
PCAR's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-27 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does PCAR usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters PCAR beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about PCAR?
Of 18 analysts covering PCAR, 8 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $133 (+23.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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