Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
ROK price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedROK is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $432.59
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $348.51–$495.08
- Market cap
- $48.1B
- From 52-week high
- -12.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 111M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #73 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Rockwell Automation, Inc. manufactures and sells industrial automation and information technologies that help companies optimize their manufacturing and production processes. The company operates globally and serves customers across various industries including automotive, food and beverage, pharmaceutical, and discrete manufacturing.
ROK currently ranks #73 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $48.1B
- P/E (trailing)
- 34x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.97B
- Net margin
- 13.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $12.88
- Gross margin
- 49.5%
- Debt / equity
- 1.03
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -3.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 111M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 57 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $432.29
- 200-day average
- $425.75
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $5.52 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.28%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 16
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-17
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-10
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+2.9%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+14.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+10.9%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+13.6%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+5.6%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+15.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+15.8%)
2024-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 12 buy · 15 hold · 1 sell (28 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $475
- Target vs last price
- +9.8%
What our data shows for ROK
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ROK, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $348.51–$495.08.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 57.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ROK
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ROK news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ROK is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Rockwell Automation Recognized in 21 Gartner Hype Cycle Reports (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Rockwell Automation's appearance in 21 Gartner Hype Cycle Reports reflects broad recognition of its technology positioning across multiple industrial domains, though this visibility does not necessarily correlate with near-term financial outperformance. Given TickrTrends' current Overvalued assessment, investors should monitor whether the company can convert this market recognition into revenue growth and margin expansion that justifies its valuation multiple relative to other Industrials sector peers. The extent to which ROK's emerging technology exposure translates into competitive advantage and pricing power will be critical to watch against its current valuation standing. - ROK Maintained by Mizuho -- Price Target Lowered to $430 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Mizuho's reduction of ROK's price target to $430 aligns with TickrTrends' assessment that the stock is currently overvalued within the Industrials sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether ROK's fundamentals can justify closing the gap between current market pricing and analyst targets, or whether additional downward revisions may follow. The maintained rating combined with a lowered target suggests analyst confidence in the company's underlying business while reflecting near-term valuation concerns. - Rockwell Automation and Industry Leaders Launch the Digital CMC Consortium to Accelerate Digital Transformation in Pharmaceutical Development (prnewswire.com, 2026-10-08)
TickrTrends take: Rockwell Automation's involvement in the Digital CMC Consortium positions the company within a growing market for digital transformation services in pharmaceuticals, an industry segment that could drive future software and automation sales. Given TickrTrends' current Overvalued assessment, investors should monitor whether this consortium participation translates into material revenue contributions or remains primarily a strategic positioning move. The pharmaceutical industry's digitalization efforts represent a long-term opportunity, but near-term financial impact would be relevant to validating whether current valuation multiples are justified by actual business growth.
More ROK news
- 90% of Life Sciences Manufacturers Say Digital Transformation Is Now Business-Critical, According to New Rockwell Automation Report (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-01)
- Is ROK Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $144 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
What people are saying
Follow the ROK conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for ROK showed a shift this week as the valuation verdict moved from Overvalued to Fairly valued. This change suggests that the stock's pricing has adjusted relative to its fundamental metrics over the past seven days. ROK remains positioned in the Industrials sector.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ROK stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ROK is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ROK's TickrTrends verdict?
ROK's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ROK compare to other Industrials stocks?
ROK ranks #73 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ROK overbought or oversold?
ROK's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ROK pay a dividend?
Yes. ROK paid $5.52 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.28% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 16 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-17.
When does ROK report earnings next?
ROK's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does ROK usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ROK beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ROK?
Of 28 analysts covering ROK, 12 rate it a buy, 15 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $475 (+9.8% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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