Saia, Inc. (SAIA) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
SAIA price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedSAIA is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $335.00
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $250.48–$487.14
- Market cap
- $8.91B
- From 52-week high
- -31.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 26.6M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #38 of 106
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Saia, Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that provides less-than-truckload freight services to customers across North America. The company operates a network of service centers throughout the United States and serves various industries by transporting smaller shipments that do not require a full truck capacity.
SAIA currently ranks #38 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 11 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $8.91B
- P/E (trailing)
- 34x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.39B
- Net margin
- 8.2%
- EPS (TTM)
- $9.95
- Gross margin
- 18.2%
- Debt / equity
- 0.10
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 7.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 26.6M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 46 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $348.41
- 200-day average
- $389.13
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+5.1%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+2.2%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-7.3%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+9.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+11.7%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-32.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+2.5%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-2.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 14 buy · 6 hold · 1 sell (21 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $424
- Target vs last price
- +26.6%
What our data shows for SAIA
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SAIA, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $250.48–$487.14.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 46.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SAIA
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent SAIA news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SAIA is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- SAIA Maintains Buy Rating -- Price Target Lowered to $480 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: SAIA currently trades at a valuation that TickrTrends categorizes as undervalued within the Industrials sector, suggesting potential upside exists relative to the company's assessed intrinsic value. The recent analyst action lowering the price target to $480 while maintaining a buy rating reflects an adjustment in expectations that a valuation-focused reader should monitor against the current market price to assess whether the gap between valuation and price target has widened or narrowed. Investors focused on valuation metrics will want to track whether this revised target aligns with SAIA's fundamentals or signals changing conditions in the freight and logistics industry. - Saia Expands Northeast Network with New Long Island Terminal (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Saia's expansion of its Northeast network through a new Long Island terminal represents operational growth that could enhance service capacity and revenue potential in a high-density market region. For investors focused on valuation metrics, this infrastructure investment warrants monitoring of how the company deploys capital and whether the terminal drives improved utilization rates and margins relative to the company's current undervalued standing in TickrTrends analysis. The expansion's financial impact on profitability and return on invested capital will be important data points for assessing whether the undervaluation thesis holds as these operations come online. - SAIA Maintained by JP Morgan -- Price Target Lowered to $463 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
TickrTrends take: JP Morgan's decision to lower SAIA's price target to $463 while maintaining its rating suggests the analyst sees underlying business quality worth preserving despite near-term headwinds. Given TickrTrends' assessment that SAIA is undervalued, the maintained rating combined with a lower target may indicate the stock has already corrected toward fair value in the Industrials sector. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the company's fundamentals can support a recovery toward the new target or whether further adjustments may follow.
More SAIA news
- SAIA Maintained by Susquehanna -- Price Target Lowered to $360 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
- Is It Too Late to Buy Saia Inc (SAIA) After 3.2% Rally? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-01)
What people are saying
Follow the SAIA conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — SAIA's sector discount rank improved this week, moving from #49 to #41 among industrials companies, indicating stronger relative valuation positioning within its peer group. The stock maintains an undervalued status according to current fundamental metrics.
- 2026-10-05 — SAIA's position within the Industrials sector has shifted this week, with its sector discount rank moving from number 35 to number 48. Despite this change in ranking, the stock maintains an Undervalued valuation verdict according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. The shift in discount rank reflects a change in how SAIA's valuation compares to other companies within its sector.
- 2026-09-28 — SAIA's sector discount rank improved this week, moving from number 39 to number 34 among Industrials companies, indicating the stock has become relatively more attractive compared to its sector peers. The company remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation metrics.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is SAIA stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), SAIA is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is SAIA's TickrTrends verdict?
SAIA's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does SAIA compare to other Industrials stocks?
SAIA ranks #38 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is SAIA overbought or oversold?
SAIA's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does SAIA report earnings next?
SAIA's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does SAIA usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters SAIA beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about SAIA?
Of 21 analysts covering SAIA, 14 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $424 (+26.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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